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J Beaton

2012–2026 · 2 competitions
Matches 306
Draws 64
Draw % 20.9% -3.4 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 2
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 306 matches (Mar 2012 – Oct 2026), J Beaton drew 64 where the draw model expected 74.8 from those particular fixtures — about 11 fewer, or 1.4 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 75.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 2 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
SCO · Scottish Premiership 266 56 21.1%
SCO · Scottish Championship 40 8 20.0%
By season 15 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2026/27 7 2 28.6%
2025/26 21 7 33.3%
2024/25 20 2 10.0%
2023/24 22 7 31.8%
2022/23 25 6 24.0%
2021/22 28 6 21.4%
2020/21 25 2 8.0%
2019/20 21 3 14.3%
2018/19 28 3 10.7%
2017/18 28 10 35.7%
2016/17 21 1 4.8%
2015/16 18 5 27.8%
2014/15 21 5 23.8%
2013/14 18 5 27.8%
2011/12 3 0 0.0%
Latest matches last 50

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