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E Swallow

2019–2026 · 3 competitions
Matches 101
Draws 26
Draw % 25.7% +1.4 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 3
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 101 matches (Aug 2019 – Sep 2026), E Swallow drew 26 where the draw model expected 26.6 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 25.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 3 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · National League 88 19 21.6%
ENG · League Two 9 5 55.6%
ENG · League One 4 2 50.0%
By season 8 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2026/27 4 3 75.0%
2025/26 18 6 33.3%
2024/25 13 2 15.4%
2023/24 3 0 0.0%
2022/23 19 5 26.3%
2021/22 14 2 14.3%
2020/21 17 2 11.8%
2019/20 13 6 46.2%
Latest matches last 50

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