D Richardson
Over 110 matches (Aug 2005 – Mar 2024), D Richardson drew 28 where the draw model expected 28.7 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 27.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · National League | 110 | 28 | 25.5% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023/24 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% |
| 2022/23 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% |
| 2021/22 | 12 | 6 | 50.0% |
| 2020/21 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% |
| 2019/20 | 15 | 3 | 20.0% |
| 2018/19 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% |
| 2017/18 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% |
| 2016/17 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% |
| 2007/08 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% |
| 2006/07 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% |
| 2005/06 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar 2024 | Altrincham | 6–1 | York City | H | ENG · National League |
| 02 Mar 2024 | Fylde | 4–1 | Maidenhead United | H | ENG · National League |
| 24 Feb 2024 | Southend United | 4–1 | Aldershot Town | H | ENG · National League |
| 27 Jan 2024 | Fylde | 1–0 | Bromley | H | ENG · National League |
| 23 Dec 2023 | Barnet | 6–0 | Boreham Wood | H | ENG · National League |
| 16 Dec 2023 | Solihull Moors | 2–3 | Oldham Athletic | A | ENG · National League |
| 25 Nov 2023 | Chesterfield | 3–2 | Eastleigh | H | ENG · National League |
| 04 Nov 2023 | Dorking Wanderers | 1–3 | Dagenham & Redbridge | A | ENG · National League |
| 21 Oct 2023 | Fylde | 1–1 | Ebbsfleet United | D | ENG · National League |
| 03 Oct 2023 | Gateshead | 2–1 | Wealdstone | H | ENG · National League |
| 26 Sep 2023 | Kidderminster Harriers | 1–2 | Oldham Athletic | A | ENG · National League |
| 02 Sep 2023 | Solihull Moors | 3–3 | Oxford City | D | ENG · National League |
| 19 Aug 2023 | Aldershot Town | 1–1 | York City | D | ENG · National League |
| 05 Aug 2023 | Gateshead | 2–2 | Boreham Wood | D | ENG · National League |
| 28 Jan 2023 | Torquay United | 1–0 | Maidstone United | H | ENG · National League |
| 01 Jan 2023 | Oldham Athletic | 2–2 | Notts County | D | ENG · National League |
| 03 Dec 2022 | Gateshead | 0–2 | Aldershot Town | A | ENG · National League |
| 26 Nov 2022 | Maidstone United | 3–2 | Maidenhead United | H | ENG · National League |
| 19 Nov 2022 | York City | 1–2 | Wealdstone | A | ENG · National League |
| 29 Oct 2022 | Notts County | 4–0 | Torquay United | H | ENG · National League |
| 04 Oct 2022 | Oldham Athletic | 2–2 | Scunthorpe United | D | ENG · National League |
| 03 Sep 2022 | Aldershot Town | 3–1 | Barnet | H | ENG · National League |
| 27 Aug 2022 | Boreham Wood | 1–1 | Altrincham | D | ENG · National League |
| 20 Aug 2022 | Wrexham | 5–0 | Maidstone United | H | ENG · National League |
| 02 May 2022 | Altrincham | 1–1 | Barnet | D | ENG · National League |
| 30 Apr 2022 | King’s Lynn Town | 3–3 | Eastleigh | D | ENG · National League |
| 09 Apr 2022 | Bromley | 0–2 | Dagenham & Redbridge | A | ENG · National League |
| 26 Mar 2022 | Wrexham | 6–5 | Dover Athletic | H | ENG · National League |
| 19 Mar 2022 | Chesterfield | 1–0 | Maidenhead United | H | ENG · National League |
| 26 Feb 2022 | Wealdstone | 1–1 | Torquay United | D | ENG · National League |
| 19 Feb 2022 | Notts County | 2–0 | Eastleigh | H | ENG · National League |
| 08 Feb 2022 | Grimsby Town | 0–0 | King’s Lynn Town | D | ENG · National League |
| 29 Jan 2022 | Wrexham | 1–1 | Maidenhead United | D | ENG · National League |
| 22 Jan 2022 | Altrincham | 1–2 | Torquay United | A | ENG · National League |
| 30 Nov 2021 | Wrexham | 0–2 | Yeovil Town | A | ENG · National League |
| 26 Oct 2021 | Notts County | 1–1 | Bromley | D | ENG · National League |
| 22 May 2021 | Stockport County | 1–1 | Woking | D | ENG · National League |
| 03 May 2021 | Chesterfield | 0–2 | Torquay United | A | ENG · National League |
| 24 Apr 2021 | Altrincham | 2–3 | Barnet | A | ENG · National League |
| 17 Apr 2021 | Woking | 0–4 | Wrexham | A | ENG · National League |
| 10 Apr 2021 | Hartlepool United | 2–0 | Notts County | H | ENG · National League |
| 20 Mar 2021 | Sutton United | 1–1 | Stockport County | D | ENG · National League |
| 13 Mar 2021 | Boreham Wood | 0–0 | Torquay United | D | ENG · National League |
| 23 Feb 2021 | Chesterfield | 1–0 | Altrincham | H | ENG · National League |
| 20 Feb 2021 | Hartlepool United | 2–1 | Yeovil Town | H | ENG · National League |
| 23 Jan 2021 | Stockport County | 1–1 | Boreham Wood | D | ENG · National League |
| 12 Dec 2020 | Solihull Moors | 0–1 | Bromley | A | ENG · National League |
| 01 Dec 2020 | Wrexham | 0–1 | Altrincham | A | ENG · National League |
| 21 Nov 2020 | Chesterfield | 2–3 | Notts County | A | ENG · National League |
| 10 Oct 2020 | Solihull Moors | 5–0 | King’s Lynn Town | H | ENG · National League |