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Match official

A Miller

2016–2026 · 2 competitions
Matches 153
Draws 38
Draw % 24.8% +0.5 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 2
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 153 matches (Aug 2016 – Sep 2026), A Miller drew 38 where the draw model expected 39.0 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 38.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 2 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · National League 150 37 24.7%
ENG · League Two 3 1 33.3%
By season 11 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2026/27 4 1 25.0%
2025/26 16 7 43.8%
2024/25 14 3 21.4%
2023/24 11 1 9.1%
2022/23 13 1 7.7%
2021/22 14 3 21.4%
2020/21 10 2 20.0%
2019/20 11 1 9.1%
2018/19 20 4 20.0%
2017/18 19 12 63.2%
2016/17 21 3 14.3%
Latest matches last 50

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