A Jackson
Over 108 matches (Aug 2019 – Oct 2026), A Jackson drew 26 where the draw model expected 28.1 from those particular fixtures — about 2 fewer, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 27.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · National League | 106 | 26 | 24.5% |
| ENG · League Two | 2 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/27 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% |
| 2025/26 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% |
| 2024/25 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% |
| 2023/24 | 17 | 7 | 41.2% |
| 2022/23 | 22 | 4 | 18.2% |
| 2021/22 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% |
| 2020/21 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% |
| 2019/20 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct 2026 | Northampton Town | 0–1 | Tranmere Rovers | A | ENG · League Two |
| 17 Oct 2026 | Crewe Alexandra | 3–2 | Rochdale | H | ENG · League Two |
| 03 Oct 2026 | Hartlepool United | 0–1 | Tamworth | A | ENG · National League |
| 29 Sep 2026 | Halifax Town | 1–1 | Boston United | D | ENG · National League |
| 16 Sep 2026 | Scunthorpe United | 1–2 | Boreham Wood | A | ENG · National League |
| 04 Sep 2026 | Altrincham | 2–1 | Eastleigh | H | ENG · National League |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Fylde | 2–0 | Forest Green Rovers | H | ENG · National League |
| 08 Aug 2026 | Boreham Wood | 3–3 | Tamworth | D | ENG · National League |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Truro City | 0–1 | Carlisle United | A | ENG · National League |
| 17 Mar 2026 | Gateshead | 1–0 | Wealdstone | H | ENG · National League |
| 11 Feb 2026 | Sutton United | 1–1 | Braintree Town | D | ENG · National League |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Hartlepool United | 1–0 | Altrincham | H | ENG · National League |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Sutton United | 1–2 | York City | A | ENG · National League |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Morecambe | 1–2 | Rochdale | A | ENG · National League |
| 10 Dec 2025 | Carlisle United | 1–3 | Woking | A | ENG · National League |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Wealdstone | 0–0 | Eastleigh | D | ENG · National League |
| 23 Sep 2025 | Altrincham | 1–2 | Forest Green Rovers | A | ENG · National League |
| 03 Sep 2025 | Halifax Town | 1–1 | Woking | D | ENG · National League |
| 25 Aug 2025 | Tamworth | 1–1 | Brackley Town | D | ENG · National League |
| 15 Mar 2025 | Sutton United | 0–3 | Halifax Town | A | ENG · National League |
| 08 Mar 2025 | Solihull Moors | 2–1 | Ebbsfleet United | H | ENG · National League |
| 01 Mar 2025 | Gateshead | 1–1 | Fylde | D | ENG · National League |
| 22 Feb 2025 | Boston United | 1–2 | Eastleigh | A | ENG · National League |
| 18 Feb 2025 | Oldham Athletic | 0–1 | Maidenhead United | A | ENG · National League |
| 21 Dec 2024 | Hartlepool United | 2–1 | Yeovil Town | H | ENG · National League |
| 14 Dec 2024 | Gateshead | 4–0 | Woking | H | ENG · National League |
| 30 Nov 2024 | Halifax Town | 0–2 | Southend United | A | ENG · National League |
| 20 Apr 2024 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 3–3 | Aldershot Town | D | ENG · National League |
| 06 Apr 2024 | Maidenhead United | 2–2 | Barnet | D | ENG · National League |
| 23 Mar 2024 | Eastleigh | 1–1 | Hartlepool United | D | ENG · National League |
| 12 Mar 2024 | Kidderminster Harriers | 1–1 | Fylde | D | ENG · National League |
| 20 Feb 2024 | Hartlepool United | 3–2 | Altrincham | H | ENG · National League |
| 17 Feb 2024 | Halifax Town | 2–1 | Woking | H | ENG · National League |
| 27 Jan 2024 | Oxford City | 1–0 | Ebbsfleet United | H | ENG · National League |
| 01 Jan 2024 | York City | 2–0 | Gateshead | H | ENG · National League |
| 25 Nov 2023 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 1–2 | Rochdale | A | ENG · National League |
| 11 Nov 2023 | Maidenhead United | 1–0 | Halifax Town | H | ENG · National League |
| 28 Oct 2023 | Oldham Athletic | 2–2 | Altrincham | D | ENG · National League |
| 07 Oct 2023 | York City | 2–2 | Bromley | D | ENG · National League |
| 30 Sep 2023 | Fylde | 0–2 | Woking | A | ENG · National League |
| 19 Sep 2023 | Chesterfield | 3–2 | Halifax Town | H | ENG · National League |
| 16 Sep 2023 | Kidderminster Harriers | 0–1 | Solihull Moors | A | ENG · National League |
| 25 Aug 2023 | Rochdale | 2–2 | Bromley | D | ENG · National League |
| 12 Aug 2023 | Hartlepool United | 2–1 | Gateshead | H | ENG · National League |
| 10 Apr 2023 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 0–1 | Chesterfield | A | ENG · National League |
| 04 Apr 2023 | Gateshead | 4–0 | Yeovil Town | H | ENG · National League |
| 18 Mar 2023 | York City | 2–1 | Dorking Wanderers | H | ENG · National League |
| 14 Mar 2023 | Maidenhead United | 1–1 | Aldershot Town | D | ENG · National League |
| 07 Mar 2023 | Solihull Moors | 3–2 | Torquay United | H | ENG · National League |
| 21 Feb 2023 | Halifax Town | 1–1 | Solihull Moors | D | ENG · National League |