What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 25 Oct 2020 → 21 Jun 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 01 Nov 2024 → 16 May 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 17 | 26 Apr 2024 → 09 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 17 | 22 Jul 2018 → 25 Feb 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 02 Sep 2019 → 06 Mar 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 16 Feb 2018 → 20 Apr 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 15 Aug 2025 → 17 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 18 Aug 2020 → 10 Oct 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 19 Jul 2019 → 27 Aug 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 27 Jun 2025 → 03 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier Division | 240 | 49 | 20.4% | 4 | 21 |
| FAI Cup | 221 | 51 | 23.1% | 2 | 4 |
| UEFA Champions League | 14 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 4 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 5 |
| 2025 | 38 | 6 | 15.8% | 16 |
| 2024 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 17 |
| 2023 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2022 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2021 | 41 | 7 | 17.1% | 17 |
| 2020 | 19 | 3 | 15.8% | 8 |
| 2019 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 8 |
| 2018 | 39 | 5 | 12.8% | 14 |
| 2017 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2014 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2013 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2007 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2006 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2005 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2004 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2002 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2001 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2000 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1999 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1998 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1995 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1988 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1986 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1983 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1982 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1981 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 1979 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 5 |
| 1978 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1977 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1975 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1973 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1972 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1971 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1970 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1969 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1967 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1966 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 |
| 1965 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1964 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1963 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1962 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1961 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1960 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1959 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1958 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1956 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1954 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1952 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1951 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1950 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1948 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1947 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1946 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1941 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1940 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1939 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1938 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1937 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1936 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1935 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1934 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1933 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1932 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1931 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 262 matches (May 2015 – Oct 2026), Waterford drew 49 where the draw model expected 67.0 from those particular fixtures — about 18 fewer, or 2.6 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 7 times running. A flat league average would have expected 64.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.