Walsall
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 5 Oct 2026.
Over 585 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Walsall drew 175 where the draw model expected 163.6 from those particular fixtures — about 11 more, or 1.0 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 156.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 30 Nov 2024 → 28 Jan 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 22 Aug 1998 → 17 Oct 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 08 Jan 2022 → 26 Feb 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 04 Sep 1999 → 23 Oct 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 26 Dec 2019 → 08 Feb 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 14 Sep 2019 → 02 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 01 Jan 2019 → 23 Feb 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 22 Dec 2012 → 09 Feb 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 08 May 2010 → 25 Sep 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 24 Aug 2002 → 02 Oct 2002 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League One | 874 | 255 | 29.2% | 0 | 11 |
| League Two | 450 | 134 | 29.8% | 0 | 17 |
| FA Cup | 299 | 70 | 23.4% | 3 | 4 |
| Championship | 184 | 46 | 25.0% | 7 | 11 |
| League Cup | 162 | 32 | 19.8% | 0 | 7 |
| Club Friendlies | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 0 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 36 | 14 | 38.9% | 6 |
| 2025 | 52 | 15 | 28.8% | 9 |
| 2024 | 50 | 11 | 22.0% | 9 |
| 2023 | 54 | 20 | 37.0% | 6 |
| 2022 | 51 | 11 | 21.6% | 11 |
| 2021 | 49 | 19 | 38.8% | 6 |
| 2020 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 8 |
| 2019 | 50 | 10 | 20.0% | 10 |
| 2018 | 53 | 14 | 26.4% | 8 |
| 2017 | 48 | 15 | 31.3% | 8 |
| 2016 | 54 | 17 | 31.5% | 8 |
| 2015 | 53 | 17 | 32.1% | 8 |
| 2014 | 50 | 19 | 38.0% | 5 |
| 2013 | 48 | 16 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2012 | 52 | 20 | 38.5% | 8 |
| 2011 | 55 | 24 | 43.6% | 4 |
| 2010 | 47 | 10 | 21.3% | 10 |
| 2009 | 48 | 13 | 27.1% | 8 |
| 2008 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 9 |
| 2007 | 48 | 16 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2006 | 53 | 17 | 32.1% | 7 |
| 2005 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 9 |
| 2004 | 47 | 11 | 23.4% | 8 |
| 2003 | 51 | 14 | 27.5% | 7 |
| 2002 | 51 | 12 | 23.5% | 10 |
| 2001 | 52 | 12 | 23.1% | 7 |
| 2000 | 52 | 15 | 28.8% | 7 |
| 1999 | 52 | 13 | 25.0% | 11 |
| 1998 | 52 | 11 | 21.2% | 12 |
| 1997 | 54 | 11 | 20.4% | 9 |
| 1996 | 56 | 13 | 23.2% | 8 |
| 1995 | 49 | 16 | 32.7% | 5 |
| 1994 | 51 | 12 | 23.5% | 8 |
| 1993 | 25 | 9 | 36.0% | 4 |
| 1992 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1991 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1989 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1988 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1987 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1986 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1985 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 4 |
| 1983 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 7 |
| 1982 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1981 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1980 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1979 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1978 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1977 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 3 |
| 1976 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1975 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1974 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1973 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1972 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 |
| 1971 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1970 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1969 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 2 |
| 1967 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1966 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1965 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1964 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1963 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1962 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1961 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1960 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1959 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1958 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1954 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1953 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1952 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1951 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1950 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1948 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1947 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1946 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1945 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1939 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1938 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1937 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1936 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1935 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1934 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1933 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1932 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1931 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1930 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1929 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1928 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1927 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1926 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1925 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1922 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1912 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1902 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1900 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1898 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1889 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1887 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1885 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1884 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1883 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1882 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 14:00 |
Fleetwood Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.3% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 14:00 |
Swindon Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Tue, 20 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 20 Oct 18:45 |
Walsall
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Mon, 26 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 26 Oct 20:00 |
Walsall
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.9% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 15:00 |
Colchester United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.3% |
|
| Sat, 14 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 14 Nov 15:00 |
Walsall
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.