What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 404 matches (Mar 1960 – Jul 2026), Wacker Innsbruck drew 73 where the draw model expected 84.5 from those particular fixtures — about 11 fewer, or 1.4 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 85.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 23 Feb 2019 → 30 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 27 Jul 2018 → 07 Oct 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 19 Oct 2013 → 08 Feb 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 09 Dec 2012 → 30 Mar 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 29 Sep 2012 → 24 Nov 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 21 Jul 2012 → 22 Sep 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 10 Apr 1993 → 16 Oct 1993 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 08 Feb 1970 → 09 Sep 1970 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 21 Nov 1989 → 24 Oct 1990 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 18 Apr 1989 → 18 Oct 1989 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austrian Cup | 208 | 36 | 17.3% | 1 | 10 |
| Bundesliga | 104 | 22 | 21.2% | 14 | 17 |
| UEFA Europa League | 46 | 8 | 17.4% | 0 | 6 |
| UEFA Champions League | 26 | 4 | 15.4% | 2 | 6 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 18 | 2 | 11.1% | 1 | 4 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2025 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2020 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2019 | 17 | 0 | 0.0% | 17 |
| 2018 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 11 |
| 2017 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2016 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2015 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2014 | 18 | 9 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 2013 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 10 |
| 2012 | 23 | 3 | 13.0% | 9 |
| 2011 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2010 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2006 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2005 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2004 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2003 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2002 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2001 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 2000 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 1999 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1998 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1997 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1996 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1995 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1994 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 1993 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 9 |
| 1992 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1991 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 6 |
| 1990 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 7 |
| 1989 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 8 |
| 1988 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 1987 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 5 |
| 1986 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 7 |
| 1985 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1984 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1983 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 5 |
| 1982 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1981 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1980 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1979 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1978 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1977 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 7 |
| 1976 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 6 |
| 1975 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 1974 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1973 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1972 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1971 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1970 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 9 |
| 1969 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1967 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1963 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1961 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1960 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 02 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 02 Oct 09:00 |
FC Südtirol
|
vs | Wacker Innsbruck | – / – / – | 27.4% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
| Sat, 03 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Oct 13:30 | Kundl | vs | Wacker Innsbruck | – / – / – | 27.0% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.