What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 16 Jun 2024 → 11 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 25 Aug 2025 → 05 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 22 Aug 2016 → 23 Oct 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 26 Jul 2026 → 07 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 20 Aug 2014 → 04 Oct 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 23 Nov 2025 → 10 Feb 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 26 Nov 2017 → 11 Apr 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 06 Nov 2016 → 22 Feb 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 12 Oct 2014 → 16 Nov 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 28 Apr 2024 → 01 Jun 2024 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A | 298 | 76 | 25.5% | 0 | 14 |
| Copa do Brasil | 56 | 12 | 21.4% | 6 | 6 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 11 |
| 2025 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 12 |
| 2024 | 40 | 8 | 20.0% | 14 |
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2021 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2020 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2019 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2018 | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 6 |
| 2017 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 5 |
| 2016 | 44 | 10 | 22.7% | 12 |
| 2015 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2014 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 11 |
| 2013 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 6 |
Over 272 matches (Apr 2015 – Oct 2026), EC Vitória drew 65 where the draw model expected 75.1 from those particular fixtures — about 10 fewer, or 1.4 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 73.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.