☆
· BRA · Serie A
Team ☆
all results ›
BRA · Club
EC Vitória
EC Vitória
Played
350
Draw %
24.6%
No-draw N
1
Max streak
14
16 Jun 2024 → 11 Aug 2024
Avg top run
9.4
top 10
Draw debt E
0.20
p50
16.0%
p100
23.0%
Draw score
0.110
rank #1,454
Draws
86
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,591
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,655
reached 14 May 2026
Rank
#574
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
350
last 20 Sep 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 14 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 268 matches (Apr 2015 – Sep 2026), EC Vitória drew 63 where the draw model expected 74.0 from those particular fixtures — about 11 fewer, or 1.5 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 72.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 14
16 Jun 2024 → 11 Aug 2024
2 12
25 Aug 2025 → 05 Nov 2025
3 12
22 Aug 2016 → 23 Oct 2016
4 11
26 Jul 2026 → 07 Sep 2026
5 11
20 Aug 2014 → 04 Oct 2014
6 7
23 Nov 2025 → 10 Feb 2026
7 7
26 Nov 2017 → 11 Apr 2018
8 7
06 Nov 2016 → 22 Feb 2017
9 7
12 Oct 2014 → 16 Nov 2014
10 6
28 Apr 2024 → 01 Jun 2024
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 16 Jun 2024 → 11 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 25 Aug 2025 → 05 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 22 Aug 2016 → 23 Oct 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 26 Jul 2026 → 07 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 20 Aug 2014 → 04 Oct 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 23 Nov 2025 → 10 Feb 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 26 Nov 2017 → 11 Apr 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 06 Nov 2016 → 22 Feb 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 12 Oct 2014 → 16 Nov 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 28 Apr 2024 → 01 Jun 2024 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A | 294 | 74 | 25.2% | 1 | 14 |
| Copa do Brasil | 56 | 12 | 21.4% | 6 | 6 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 11 |
| 2025 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 12 |
| 2024 | 40 | 8 | 20.0% | 14 |
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2021 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2020 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2019 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2018 | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 6 |
| 2017 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 5 |
| 2016 | 44 | 10 | 22.7% | 12 |
| 2015 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2014 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 11 |
| 2013 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 6 |
Matches
all results ›
350 matches · page 1 / 9
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