Viktoria Köln
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 247 matches (Aug 2015 – Sep 2026), Viktoria Köln drew 55 where the draw model expected 65.0 from those particular fixtures — about 10 fewer, or 1.4 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 67.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 30 Mar 2025 → 20 Sep 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 22 Feb 2026 → 10 May 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 21 Feb 2020 → 01 Jul 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 18 May 2024 → 19 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 24 Oct 2021 → 30 Jan 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 01 Nov 2024 → 01 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 04 Oct 2025 → 13 Dec 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 26 Sep 2020 → 13 Nov 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 20 Jan 2024 → 03 Mar 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 06 Feb 2021 → 19 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3. Liga | 234 | 51 | 21.8% | 7 | 16 |
| DFB-Pokal | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 0 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 | 1 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 28 | 4 | 14.3% | 13 |
| 2025 | 39 | 6 | 15.4% | 17 |
| 2024 | 37 | 4 | 10.8% | 11 |
| 2023 | 22 | 8 | 36.4% | 5 |
| 2022 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 5 |
| 2021 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 8 |
| 2020 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 13 |
| 2019 | 20 | 6 | 30.0% | 7 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2015 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2014 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1962 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 03 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Oct 12:00 |
1. FC Köln
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 19.5% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
| 03 Oct 12:00 |
Viktoria Köln
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 14:30 |
Alemannia Aachen
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% |
|
| Wed, 14 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 14 Oct 17:00 |
Viktoria Köln
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 14:30 |
MSV Duisburg
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 12:00 |
Viktoria Köln
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 13:00 |
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Fri, 06 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 06 Nov 18:00 |
Viktoria Köln
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% |
|
| Sat, 14 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 14 Nov 13:00 |
Viktoria Köln
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Fri, 20 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 20 Nov 18:00 |
TSV Havelse
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.