Venezia
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 374 matches (Aug 2017 – Sep 2026), Venezia drew 114 where the draw model expected 107.5 from those particular fixtures — about 7 more, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 113.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 13 Dec 2025 → 21 Feb 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 26 Sep 2023 → 16 Dec 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 27 Feb 2022 → 08 May 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 16 Mar 2001 → 03 Jun 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 15 May 2004 → 25 Sep 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 15 Aug 2026 → 26 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 14 Apr 2024 → 18 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 21 Dec 2003 → 15 Feb 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 02 Dec 2001 → 20 Jan 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 28 Nov 1999 → 23 Jan 2000 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie B | 470 | 151 | 32.1% | 1 | 11 |
| Serie A | 183 | 49 | 26.8% | 5 | 11 |
| Coppa Italia | 22 | 6 | 27.3% | 2 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 1 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 8 |
| 2025 | 43 | 17 | 39.5% | 7 |
| 2024 | 38 | 6 | 15.8% | 8 |
| 2023 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 11 |
| 2022 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 11 |
| 2021 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 5 |
| 2020 | 37 | 14 | 37.8% | 7 |
| 2019 | 39 | 15 | 38.5% | 6 |
| 2018 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 6 |
| 2017 | 22 | 11 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 2014 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2013 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2006 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2005 | 24 | 9 | 37.5% | 6 |
| 2004 | 44 | 9 | 20.5% | 9 |
| 2003 | 42 | 18 | 42.9% | 7 |
| 2002 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 7 |
| 2001 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 11 |
| 2000 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 5 |
| 1999 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 7 |
| 1998 | 37 | 16 | 43.2% | 5 |
| 1997 | 15 | 2 | 13.3% | 8 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, 12 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 12 Oct 16:30 |
Atalanta BC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 13:00 |
Venezia
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 14:00 |
Genoa CFC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 17:30 |
Venezia
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.9% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 11:30 |
Como 1907
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 16.2% |
|
| Fri, 06 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 06 Nov 19:45 |
Venezia
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.