What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 417 matches (Mar 2015 – Sep 2026), Vancouver Whitecaps drew 103 where the draw model expected 105.9 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 104.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 19 Aug 2020 → 08 Nov 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 03 Oct 2024 → 23 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 12 Mar 2017 → 03 Jun 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 30 Nov 2025 → 26 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 10 May 2015 → 13 Jul 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 17 Aug 2026 → 20 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 28 Aug 2022 → 05 Mar 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 27 Jul 2015 → 27 Sep 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 25 Jun 2023 → 31 Aug 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 02 Jun 2018 → 29 Jul 2018 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLS | 513 | 132 | 25.7% | 0 | 18 |
| Club Friendlies | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 28 | 6 | 21.4% | 9 |
| 2025 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 7 |
| 2024 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 8 |
| 2023 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 8 |
| 2022 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 7 |
| 2021 | 35 | 13 | 37.1% | 7 |
| 2020 | 24 | 1 | 4.2% | 18 |
| 2019 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 7 |
| 2018 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 8 |
| 2017 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 12 |
| 2016 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 2015 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 10 |
| 2014 | 35 | 14 | 40.0% | 6 |
| 2013 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 5 |
| 2012 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 8 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, 06 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 06 Oct 00:30 |
Chicago Fire
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.2% |
|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 02:30 |
Los Angeles FC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Wed, 14 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 14 Oct 00:30 |
St. Louis City SC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 00:30 |
Austin FC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.8% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 00:30 |
Colorado Rapids
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.8% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 02:30 |
Vancouver Whitecaps
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 21:30 |
Vancouver Whitecaps
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 21:00 |
CF Montréal
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.