Thun
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 299 matches (Feb 2015 – Oct 2026), Thun drew 70 where the draw model expected 69.3 from those particular fixtures — about 1 more, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 71.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 28 Sep 2019 → 15 Feb 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 04 Sep 2025 → 20 Dec 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 19 Nov 2017 → 11 Mar 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 18 Oct 2015 → 20 Feb 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 12 Apr 2014 → 02 Aug 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 22 Jul 2012 → 06 Oct 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 03 Aug 2005 → 22 Nov 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 21 Apr 2018 → 18 Aug 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 08 Mar 2026 → 14 May 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 14 Jan 2026 → 28 Feb 2026 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super League | 339 | 83 | 24.5% | 4 | 22 |
| Swiss Cup | 241 | 47 | 19.5% | 1 | 6 |
| UEFA Europa League | 28 | 7 | 25.0% | 2 | 12 |
| UEFA Champions League | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 0 | 8 |
| Club Friendlies | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 | 2 |
| Challenge League | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 9 |
| 2025 | 21 | 1 | 4.8% | 15 |
| 2024 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2023 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2021 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2020 | 21 | 5 | 23.8% | 7 |
| 2019 | 44 | 9 | 20.5% | 12 |
| 2018 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 11 |
| 2017 | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 8 |
| 2016 | 37 | 16 | 43.2% | 7 |
| 2015 | 46 | 14 | 30.4% | 9 |
| 2014 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 12 |
| 2013 | 54 | 15 | 27.8% | 7 |
| 2012 | 20 | 3 | 15.0% | 12 |
| 2011 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 4 |
| 2010 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2009 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2007 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2006 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2005 | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 12 |
| 2004 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2003 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 2002 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2001 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2000 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1999 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1998 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1997 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1996 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1995 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1994 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1993 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1992 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1991 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1990 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1989 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1988 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1987 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1986 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1981 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1979 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1974 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1973 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1971 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 1970 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1969 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1966 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1964 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1963 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1962 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1961 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1960 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1959 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1958 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1957 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 2 |
| 1956 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1955 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1954 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1952 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1951 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1950 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1949 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1948 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1947 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1946 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1945 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1944 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1942 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1941 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1940 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1938 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1937 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1936 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1935 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1934 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1933 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1932 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1931 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1930 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1929 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1927 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1926 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, 15 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 15 Oct 19:00 |
Twente
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 16.2% |
|
| Thu, 22 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 22 Oct 19:00 |
Thun
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 17.3% |
|
| Thu, 05 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 05 Nov 17:45 |
Thun
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 19.5% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.