Sutton United
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 483 matches (Aug 2016 – Sep 2026), Sutton United drew 134 where the draw model expected 130.1 from those particular fixtures — about 4 more, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 125.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 28 Aug 2021 → 07 Dec 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 13 Apr 2021 → 10 Aug 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 13 Aug 2016 → 08 Oct 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 06 Apr 2026 → 15 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 28 Sep 2024 → 30 Nov 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 05 Nov 2017 → 30 Dec 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 26 Sep 2023 → 04 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 27 Aug 2022 → 15 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 22 Mar 2022 → 07 May 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 22 Dec 2018 → 16 Feb 2019 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National League | 321 | 91 | 28.3% | 1 | 13 |
| League Two | 138 | 38 | 27.5% | 0 | 17 |
| FA Cup | 60 | 13 | 21.7% | 0 | 4 |
| League Cup | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 12 |
| 2025 | 49 | 18 | 36.7% | 8 |
| 2024 | 48 | 16 | 33.3% | 10 |
| 2023 | 51 | 14 | 27.5% | 9 |
| 2022 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 9 |
| 2021 | 54 | 10 | 18.5% | 19 |
| 2020 | 23 | 7 | 30.4% | 6 |
| 2019 | 48 | 13 | 27.1% | 8 |
| 2018 | 47 | 16 | 34.0% | 9 |
| 2017 | 53 | 15 | 28.3% | 10 |
| 2016 | 27 | 5 | 18.5% | 13 |
| 2013 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1995 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1994 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1993 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1992 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1991 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1981 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1975 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1970 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1969 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1963 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1960 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1946 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1945 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 03 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Oct 14:00 |
Kidderminster Harriers
|
vs |
|
2.37 3.21 2.73 | 25.0% |
|
| Fri, 09 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 09 Oct 18:45 |
Sutton United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 11:30 |
Harrogate Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.2% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 19:45 |
Sutton United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 15:00 |
Worthing
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.