What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 02 Apr 2011 → 21 Sep 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 18 | 12 Nov 2022 → 04 Mar 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 26 Dec 2024 → 15 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 16 Mar 2007 → 16 Sep 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 24 Sep 1997 → 13 Dec 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 24 Feb 1996 → 27 Apr 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 09 Apr 2012 → 29 Sep 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 13 | 05 May 2001 → 20 Oct 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 11 Jan 2017 → 19 Mar 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 26 Aug 2014 → 08 Nov 2014 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 920 | 243 | 26.4% | 2 | 13 |
| FA Cup | 370 | 94 | 25.4% | 3 | 5 |
| Championship | 336 | 98 | 29.2% | 0 | 13 |
| League Cup | 227 | 51 | 22.5% | 2 | 6 |
| League One | 92 | 22 | 23.9% | 10 | 10 |
| UEFA Europa League | 22 | 9 | 40.9% | 1 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 20 | 4 | 20.0% | 3 | 5 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 | 6 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 0 | 2 |
| FA Community Shield | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 9 |
| 2025 | 51 | 13 | 25.5% | 12 |
| 2024 | 49 | 9 | 18.4% | 10 |
| 2023 | 53 | 10 | 18.9% | 14 |
| 2022 | 46 | 10 | 21.7% | 8 |
| 2021 | 49 | 13 | 26.5% | 10 |
| 2020 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 10 |
| 2019 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 9 |
| 2018 | 51 | 16 | 31.4% | 6 |
| 2017 | 48 | 13 | 27.1% | 12 |
| 2016 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 5 |
| 2015 | 50 | 11 | 22.0% | 6 |
| 2014 | 45 | 8 | 17.8% | 12 |
| 2013 | 42 | 15 | 35.7% | 5 |
| 2012 | 47 | 11 | 23.4% | 13 |
| 2011 | 56 | 9 | 16.1% | 20 |
| 2010 | 49 | 10 | 20.4% | 9 |
| 2009 | 49 | 15 | 30.6% | 8 |
| 2008 | 53 | 17 | 32.1% | 8 |
| 2007 | 48 | 10 | 20.8% | 14 |
| 2006 | 52 | 14 | 26.9% | 12 |
| 2005 | 51 | 20 | 39.2% | 7 |
| 2004 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 8 |
| 2003 | 48 | 13 | 27.1% | 9 |
| 2002 | 43 | 16 | 37.2% | 6 |
| 2001 | 43 | 7 | 16.3% | 13 |
| 2000 | 44 | 9 | 20.5% | 7 |
| 1999 | 44 | 10 | 22.7% | 11 |
| 1998 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 11 |
| 1997 | 47 | 12 | 25.5% | 14 |
| 1996 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 14 |
| 1995 | 49 | 19 | 38.8% | 10 |
| 1994 | 46 | 13 | 28.3% | 9 |
| 1993 | 26 | 3 | 11.5% | 11 |
| 1992 | 10 | 7 | 70.0% | 2 |
| 1991 | 13 | 6 | 46.2% | 1 |
| 1990 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 4 |
| 1989 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1988 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1987 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1986 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 2 |
| 1985 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 3 |
| 1984 | 15 | 7 | 46.7% | 3 |
| 1983 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1982 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1981 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1980 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1978 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1977 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 2 |
| 1976 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 8 |
| 1975 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1973 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1972 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1970 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 12 | 6 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1967 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1965 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1963 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1962 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 1961 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1960 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1959 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1958 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1957 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1956 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1955 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1954 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1953 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1952 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1951 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1950 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1948 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1947 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1946 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1939 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1938 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1937 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1936 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1935 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1934 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1933 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1932 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1931 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1930 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1929 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1928 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1927 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1926 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1925 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1924 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1923 | 9 | 5 | 55.6% | 1 |
| 1922 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1921 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1920 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1915 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1914 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1913 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1912 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1911 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1910 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1909 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1908 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1907 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1906 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1905 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1904 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1903 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1902 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 4 |
| 1901 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1900 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1899 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1898 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1897 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1896 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1895 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 573 matches (Jan 2015 – Nov 2026), Southampton drew 138 where the draw model expected 140.8 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 145.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.