Solihull Moors
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 482 matches (Jul 2016 – Oct 2026), Solihull Moors drew 122 where the draw model expected 125.0 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 121.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 28 Oct 2023 → 27 Jan 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 25 Aug 2018 → 27 Oct 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 19 Nov 2022 → 11 Feb 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 13 Apr 2021 → 22 May 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 18 Apr 2026 → 31 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 01 Oct 2019 → 16 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 18 Mar 2017 → 22 Apr 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 01 Dec 2020 → 27 Jan 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 30 Sep 2017 → 11 Nov 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 19 Aug 2017 → 16 Sep 2017 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National League | 459 | 113 | 24.6% | 6 | 13 |
| FA Cup | 22 | 12 | 54.6% | 2 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 9 |
| 2025 | 48 | 12 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2024 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 7 |
| 2023 | 50 | 14 | 28.0% | 9 |
| 2022 | 47 | 14 | 29.8% | 7 |
| 2021 | 55 | 14 | 25.5% | 10 |
| 2020 | 25 | 7 | 28.0% | 4 |
| 2019 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 9 |
| 2018 | 48 | 14 | 29.2% | 12 |
| 2017 | 49 | 9 | 18.4% | 9 |
| 2016 | 29 | 8 | 27.6% | 7 |
| 1997 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1992 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 14:00 |
Worthing
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 19.2% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:00 |
Solihull Moors
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 27 Oct 19:45 |
Wealdstone
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.7% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 15:00 |
Solihull Moors
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.