SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 217 matches (Feb 2015 – Oct 2026), SG Sonnenhof Großaspach drew 66 where the draw model expected 60.4 from those particular fixtures — about 6 more, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 59.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 18 Feb 2017 → 22 Apr 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 09 Sep 2017 → 18 Nov 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 12 Dec 2015 → 01 Mar 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 27 Sep 2014 → 06 Dec 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 03 Feb 2020 → 03 Jun 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 13 Jun 2020 → 04 Jul 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 11 Apr 2015 → 23 May 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 04 May 2019 → 30 Jul 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 05 Nov 2016 → 16 Dec 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 27 Oct 2019 → 30 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3. Liga | 235 | 70 | 29.8% | 1 | 12 |
| DFB-Pokal | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 2 |
| 2025 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2020 | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 8 |
| 2019 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 6 |
| 2018 | 39 | 19 | 48.7% | 5 |
| 2017 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 12 |
| 2016 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 7 |
| 2015 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 7 |
| 2014 | 22 | 6 | 27.3% | 9 |
| 2012 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.