SC Verl
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 205 matches (Jul 2015 – Sep 2026), SC Verl drew 60 where the draw model expected 53.4 from those particular fixtures — about 7 more, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 56.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 18 Apr 2026 → 12 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 8 | 01 Mar 2025 → 12 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 8 | 26 Sep 2020 → 20 Nov 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 20 Dec 2025 → 21 Feb 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 29 Oct 2023 → 16 Dec 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 30 Jan 2021 → 14 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 06 Aug 2011 → 17 Sep 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 28 Feb 2009 → 13 Apr 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 03 Mar 2026 → 08 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 01 Sep 2024 → 05 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3. Liga | 197 | 59 | 30.0% | 1 | 10 |
| Regionalliga West | 70 | 17 | 24.3% | 0 | 7 |
| DFB-Pokal | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 1 | 1 |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 28 | 3 | 10.7% | 12 |
| 2025 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 8 |
| 2024 | 37 | 15 | 40.5% | 6 |
| 2023 | 20 | 4 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 2022 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 6 |
| 2021 | 43 | 17 | 39.5% | 7 |
| 2020 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 8 |
| 2019 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 4 |
| 2011 | 18 | 2 | 11.1% | 7 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 16 | 2 | 12.5% | 7 |
| 2008 | 18 | 8 | 44.4% | 4 |
| 2007 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 03 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Oct 11:00 |
Hannover 96
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 19.5% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 17:30 |
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.3% |
|
| Wed, 14 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 14 Oct 17:00 |
SC Verl
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 11:30 |
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 12:00 |
Viktoria Köln
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 13:00 |
SC Verl
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 15:30 |
VfB Stuttgart II
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sat, 14 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 14 Nov 13:00 |
Preußen Münster
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.3% |
|
| Sat, 21 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 21 Nov 13:00 |
SC Verl
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% |
|
| Sat, 28 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Nov 13:00 |
Preußen Münster
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.3% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.