US Sassuolo
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 489 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), US Sassuolo drew 123 where the draw model expected 123.5 from those particular fixtures — about 0 fewer, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 132.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 03 Nov 2024 → 15 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 04 Dec 2013 → 02 Mar 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 22 Oct 2017 → 23 Dec 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 06 Jan 2026 → 15 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 09 May 2025 → 03 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 26 May 2019 → 30 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 03 May 2026 → 29 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 15 May 2012 → 22 Sep 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 18 Jan 2010 → 16 Mar 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 11 Sep 2022 → 05 Nov 2022 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A | 461 | 123 | 26.7% | 2 | 12 |
| Serie B | 248 | 73 | 29.4% | 2 | 15 |
| Coppa Italia | 41 | 4 | 9.8% | 0 | 3 |
| UEFA Europa League | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 0 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31 | 5 | 16.1% | 11 |
| 2025 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 11 |
| 2024 | 44 | 9 | 20.5% | 10 |
| 2023 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2022 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2021 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 5 |
| 2020 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 2019 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 11 |
| 2018 | 40 | 14 | 35.0% | 8 |
| 2017 | 43 | 8 | 18.6% | 12 |
| 2016 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 8 |
| 2015 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 8 |
| 2014 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 9 |
| 2013 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 7 |
| 2012 | 46 | 10 | 21.7% | 10 |
| 2011 | 44 | 15 | 34.1% | 7 |
| 2010 | 46 | 13 | 28.3% | 9 |
| 2009 | 44 | 17 | 38.6% | 4 |
| 2008 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2006 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 16:00 |
US Sassuolo
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
| Fri, 16 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 16 Oct 18:45 |
Frosinone Calcio
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 13:00 |
Como 1907
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 21.9% |
|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 27 Oct 17:30 |
US Sassuolo
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.8% |
|
| Mon, 02 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 02 Nov 17:30 |
US Sassuolo
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.8% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 19:45 |
AS Roma
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.9% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.