What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29 | 22 Sep 2024 → 10 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 18 | 02 Jul 2017 → 02 Apr 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 17 | 20 May 2001 → 26 Aug 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 15 | 24 Jun 2020 → 13 Sep 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 28 Nov 2021 → 22 Jun 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 24 Jun 2007 → 28 Oct 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 14 | 29 Apr 1962 → 01 Aug 1962 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 13 | 06 Apr 2015 → 30 May 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 13 | 16 Jun 2011 → 11 Sep 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 13 | 01 Jul 1965 → 10 Oct 1965 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliteserien | 657 | 140 | 21.3% | 3 | 26 |
| 1. divisjon | 430 | 92 | 21.4% | 6 | 16 |
| Norwegian Football Cup | 234 | 40 | 17.1% | 3 | 7 |
| Club Friendlies | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 4 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 8 |
| 2025 | 34 | 3 | 8.8% | 20 |
| 2024 | 31 | 7 | 22.6% | 9 |
| 2023 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 6 |
| 2022 | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 11 |
| 2021 | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 11 |
| 2020 | 30 | 8 | 26.7% | 15 |
| 2019 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 8 |
| 2018 | 32 | 11 | 34.4% | 10 |
| 2017 | 32 | 3 | 9.4% | 16 |
| 2016 | 35 | 5 | 14.3% | 11 |
| 2015 | 35 | 5 | 14.3% | 13 |
| 2014 | 32 | 10 | 31.3% | 8 |
| 2013 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 12 |
| 2012 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 9 |
| 2011 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 13 |
| 2010 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 8 |
| 2009 | 32 | 10 | 31.3% | 5 |
| 2008 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 7 |
| 2007 | 28 | 4 | 14.3% | 14 |
| 2006 | 33 | 5 | 15.2% | 8 |
| 2005 | 33 | 5 | 15.2% | 9 |
| 2004 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 12 |
| 2003 | 33 | 5 | 15.2% | 12 |
| 2002 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 11 |
| 2001 | 32 | 5 | 15.6% | 17 |
| 2000 | 29 | 4 | 13.8% | 8 |
| 1999 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1996 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1995 | 24 | 8 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 1994 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1993 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1992 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1991 | 24 | 5 | 20.8% | 10 |
| 1990 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1989 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1988 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1987 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1986 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1985 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1984 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1983 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1973 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1970 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1969 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1966 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1965 | 22 | 2 | 9.1% | 13 |
| 1964 | 24 | 7 | 29.2% | 6 |
| 1963 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1962 | 22 | 2 | 9.1% | 14 |
| 1961 | 18 | 1 | 5.6% | 11 |
| 1960 | 21 | 5 | 23.8% | 6 |
| 1959 | 21 | 8 | 38.1% | 9 |
| 1958 | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 10 |
| 1957 | 21 | 4 | 19.1% | 8 |
| 1956 | 15 | 2 | 13.3% | 6 |
| 1955 | 19 | 1 | 5.3% | 10 |
| 1954 | 18 | 7 | 38.9% | 4 |
| 1953 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 5 |
| 1952 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 1951 | 16 | 6 | 37.5% | 4 |
| 1950 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 7 |
| 1949 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 6 |
| 1948 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1947 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1946 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1945 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1940 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1939 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1936 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1935 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1934 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1933 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1932 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1931 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1930 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1929 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1928 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1927 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1926 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1923 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1921 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1920 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1919 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 399 matches (Apr 2015 – Oct 2026), Sandefjord Fotball drew 79 where the draw model expected 86.4 from those particular fixtures — about 7 fewer, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 90.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.