☆
· USA · MLS
Team ☆
all results ›
USA · Club
San Jose Earthquakes
San Jose Earthquakes
Played
535
Draw %
27.1%
No-draw N
0
Max streak
23
19 Jul 2025 → 28 Apr 2026
Avg top run
11.3
top 10
Draw debt E
0.00
p50
26.0%
p100
22.0%
Draw score
0.074
rank #1,777
Draws
145
Trophies
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,557
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,624
reached 28 Apr 2026
Rank
#823
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
535
last 14 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 16 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 429 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), San Jose Earthquakes drew 115 where the draw model expected 106.4 from those particular fixtures — about 9 more, or 1.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 107.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 23
19 Jul 2025 → 28 Apr 2026
2 13
31 May 2024 → 14 Sep 2024
3 12
25 May 2013 → 18 Aug 2013
4 11
10 Aug 2019 → 06 Oct 2019
5 10
21 Sep 2024 → 22 Mar 2025
6 9
24 Feb 2024 → 21 Apr 2024
7 9
11 Jun 2019 → 27 Jul 2019
8 9
24 Jun 2017 → 05 Aug 2017
9 9
23 Oct 2016 → 01 Apr 2017
10 8
16 Apr 2021 → 29 May 2021
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 19 Jul 2025 → 28 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 31 May 2024 → 14 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 25 May 2013 → 18 Aug 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 10 Aug 2019 → 06 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 21 Sep 2024 → 22 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 24 Feb 2024 → 21 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 11 Jun 2019 → 27 Jul 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 24 Jun 2017 → 05 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 23 Oct 2016 → 01 Apr 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 16 Apr 2021 → 29 May 2021 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLS | 501 | 136 | 27.2% | 0 | 21 |
| US Open Cup | 24 | 6 | 25.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 0 | 4 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 32 | 8 | 25.0% | 12 |
| 2025 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 11 |
| 2024 | 36 | 4 | 11.1% | 13 |
| 2023 | 36 | 15 | 41.7% | 4 |
| 2022 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 6 |
| 2021 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 8 |
| 2020 | 26 | 7 | 26.9% | 7 |
| 2019 | 39 | 6 | 15.4% | 11 |
| 2018 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 8 |
| 2017 | 43 | 8 | 18.6% | 9 |
| 2016 | 35 | 14 | 40.0% | 4 |
| 2015 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2014 | 34 | 12 | 35.3% | 8 |
| 2013 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 12 |
| 2012 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2005 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2004 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Matches
all results ›
535 matches · page 1 / 14
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Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 17 Oct 02:30 |
San Jose Earthquakes
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.2% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 24 Oct 00:30 |
FC Dallas
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.3% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 28 Oct 02:30 |
San Jose Earthquakes
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.2% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 31 Oct 21:00 |
San Jose Earthquakes
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 07 Nov 00:00 |
Minnesota United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.