SC Salgueiros
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 276 matches (Jul 1991 – Sep 2026), SC Salgueiros drew 76 where the draw model expected 72.0 from those particular fixtures — about 4 more, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 70.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 14 May 2000 → 11 Jan 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 26 Feb 2001 → 13 May 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 03 Mar 2002 → 05 May 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 13 Dec 1997 → 15 Feb 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 30 Oct 1994 → 08 Jan 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 17 Oct 1999 → 05 Dec 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 07 Jan 1996 → 17 Feb 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 21 Jan 1995 → 12 Mar 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 30 Sep 2001 → 24 Nov 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 27 May 2001 → 16 Sep 2001 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primeira Liga | 272 | 76 | 27.9% | 10 | 18 |
| UEFA Europa League | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Taça de Portugal | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2002 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 10 |
| 2001 | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 11 |
| 2000 | 34 | 5 | 14.7% | 16 |
| 1999 | 33 | 12 | 36.4% | 7 |
| 1998 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 7 |
| 1997 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 1996 | 31 | 10 | 32.3% | 7 |
| 1995 | 35 | 16 | 45.7% | 7 |
| 1994 | 15 | 2 | 13.3% | 7 |
| 1991 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 14:00 |
SC Salgueiros
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.