What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 153 matches (Mar 2015 – Mar 2026), Ponte Preta drew 42 where the draw model expected 43.8 from those particular fixtures — about 2 fewer, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 41.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 30 Sep 2012 → 18 Nov 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 21 May 2016 → 22 Jun 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 04 Apr 2013 → 10 Jul 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 25 Sep 2016 → 06 Nov 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 11 Aug 2013 → 13 Sep 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 17 Jun 2012 → 22 Jul 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 08 Jul 2017 → 03 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 15 Oct 2015 → 18 Nov 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 19 Oct 2017 → 08 Nov 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 27 Jul 2016 → 13 Aug 2016 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A | 190 | 51 | 26.8% | 4 | 10 |
| Copa do Brasil | 48 | 15 | 31.3% | 2 | 5 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2025 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2023 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2022 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2020 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2019 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2018 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 2017 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2016 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 9 |
| 2015 | 44 | 13 | 29.5% | 6 |
| 2014 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2013 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 9 |
| 2012 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 10 |
