☆
· BRA · Copa do Brasil
Team ☆
all results ›
BRA · Club
Náutico
Náutico
Played
109
Draw %
18.4%
No-draw N
4
Max streak
19
28 Sep 2013 → 13 May 2014
Avg top run
7.2
top 10
Draw debt E
0.74
p50
18.0%
p100
19.0%
Draw score
0.247
rank #570
Draws
20
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,545
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,558
reached 12 Mar 2025
Rank
#1,011
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
109
last 20 May 2025
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 109 matches (May 2012 – May 2025), Náutico drew 20 where the draw model expected 29.9 from those particular fixtures — about 10 fewer, or 2.1 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 5 times running. A flat league average would have expected 29.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 19
28 Sep 2013 → 13 May 2014
2 12
06 Jun 2012 → 05 Aug 2012
3 9
09 Sep 2012 → 17 Oct 2012
4 7
05 Jun 2013 → 07 Aug 2013
5 6
14 Aug 2013 → 05 Sep 2013
6 5
14 Feb 2018 → 18 Apr 2018
7 4
19 Feb 2025 → 20 May 2025
8 4
01 Mar 2023 → 25 Apr 2023
9 3
02 Apr 2015 → 30 Apr 2015
10 3
11 Sep 2013 → 19 Sep 2013
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 28 Sep 2013 → 13 May 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 06 Jun 2012 → 05 Aug 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 09 Sep 2012 → 17 Oct 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 05 Jun 2013 → 07 Aug 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 14 Aug 2013 → 05 Sep 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 14 Feb 2018 → 18 Apr 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 19 Feb 2025 → 20 May 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 01 Mar 2023 → 25 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 3 | 02 Apr 2015 → 30 Apr 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 3 | 11 Sep 2013 → 19 Sep 2013 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A | 76 | 12 | 15.8% | 15 | 15 |
| Copa do Brasil | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 4 | 5 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2023 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2022 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2020 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2019 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2018 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 2017 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2015 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2014 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2013 | 40 | 6 | 15.0% | 15 |
| 2012 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 12 |
Matches
all results ›
109 matches · page 1 / 3
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