☆
· BRA · Serie A
Team ☆
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BRA · Club
Athletico Paranaense
Athletico Paranaense
Played
575
Draw %
25.4%
No-draw N
1
Max streak
20
30 Jul 2016 → 06 Nov 2016
Avg top run
12.4
top 10
Draw debt E
0.25
p50
24.0%
p100
26.0%
Draw score
0.115
rank #1,397
Draws
146
Trophies
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,696
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,757
reached 4 Dec 2019
Rank
#299
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
575
last 20 Sep 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 486 matches (Apr 2015 – Sep 2026), Athletico Paranaense drew 122 where the draw model expected 140.0 from those particular fixtures — about 18 fewer, or 1.8 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 130.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 20
30 Jul 2016 → 06 Nov 2016
2 15
10 Sep 2014 → 16 Nov 2014
3 14
25 Oct 2020 → 06 Jan 2021
4 13
12 Apr 2023 → 03 Jun 2023
5 12
12 Dec 2021 → 29 May 2022
6 12
19 Aug 2018 → 14 Oct 2018
7 11
26 Jun 2024 → 07 Aug 2024
8 9
29 Sep 2024 → 20 Nov 2024
9 9
20 Jul 2019 → 04 Sep 2019
10 9
28 Apr 2015 → 14 Jun 2015
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 30 Jul 2016 → 06 Nov 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 10 Sep 2014 → 16 Nov 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 25 Oct 2020 → 06 Jan 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 12 Apr 2023 → 03 Jun 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 12 Dec 2021 → 29 May 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 19 Aug 2018 → 14 Oct 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 26 Jun 2024 → 07 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 29 Sep 2024 → 20 Nov 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 20 Jul 2019 → 04 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 28 Apr 2015 → 14 Jun 2015 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A | 484 | 118 | 24.4% | 1 | 19 |
| Copa do Brasil | 87 | 27 | 31.0% | 2 | 7 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 | 1 |
| Supercopa do Brasil | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 8 |
| 2025 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 2024 | 44 | 9 | 20.5% | 11 |
| 2023 | 44 | 14 | 31.8% | 13 |
| 2022 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 2021 | 59 | 15 | 25.4% | 7 |
| 2020 | 32 | 5 | 15.6% | 13 |
| 2019 | 46 | 13 | 28.3% | 9 |
| 2018 | 46 | 14 | 30.4% | 12 |
| 2017 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 7 |
| 2016 | 46 | 10 | 21.7% | 20 |
| 2015 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 9 |
| 2014 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 15 |
| 2013 | 49 | 15 | 30.6% | 6 |
Matches
all results ›
575 matches · page 1 / 15
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