Partick Thistle
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 498 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Partick Thistle drew 136 where the draw model expected 125.4 from those particular fixtures — about 11 more, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 119.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 08 May 2018 → 10 Nov 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 24 Apr 2010 → 06 Nov 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 16 | 04 Jan 2010 → 17 Apr 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 15 | 29 Apr 2021 → 15 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 15 | 07 Oct 1995 → 13 Jan 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 01 Apr 2008 → 30 Aug 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 14 | 29 Aug 1998 → 28 Nov 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 22 Nov 2005 → 28 Jan 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 07 Aug 2004 → 16 Oct 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 27 Dec 2003 → 06 Mar 2004 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish Championship | 647 | 182 | 28.1% | 1 | 15 |
| Scottish Premiership | 338 | 93 | 27.5% | 2 | 15 |
| Scottish League One | 166 | 42 | 25.3% | 2 | 14 |
| Scottish League Cup | 87 | 16 | 18.4% | 1 | 6 |
| Scottish Cup | 72 | 15 | 20.8% | 4 | 4 |
| FA Cup | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| UEFA Europa League | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 32 | 13 | 40.6% | 4 |
| 2025 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 7 |
| 2024 | 44 | 16 | 36.4% | 5 |
| 2023 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 7 |
| 2022 | 46 | 10 | 21.7% | 11 |
| 2021 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 15 |
| 2020 | 23 | 10 | 43.5% | 3 |
| 2019 | 47 | 11 | 23.4% | 10 |
| 2018 | 42 | 6 | 14.3% | 20 |
| 2017 | 47 | 11 | 23.4% | 8 |
| 2016 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 10 |
| 2015 | 44 | 13 | 29.5% | 9 |
| 2014 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 9 |
| 2013 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 8 |
| 2012 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 8 |
| 2011 | 44 | 14 | 31.8% | 7 |
| 2010 | 38 | 5 | 13.2% | 16 |
| 2009 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 7 |
| 2008 | 45 | 12 | 26.7% | 14 |
| 2007 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 9 |
| 2006 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 9 |
| 2005 | 41 | 15 | 36.6% | 7 |
| 2004 | 46 | 8 | 17.4% | 12 |
| 2003 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 11 |
| 2002 | 48 | 16 | 33.3% | 8 |
| 2001 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 10 |
| 2000 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 5 |
| 1999 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 1998 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 14 |
| 1997 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 7 |
| 1996 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 1995 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 12 |
| 1994 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 6 |
| 1972 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1963 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1887 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1886 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1885 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 14:00 |
Livingston
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.7% |
|
| Fri, 16 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 16 Oct 18:30 |
Ayr United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Tue, 20 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 20 Oct 18:45 |
Dunfermline Athletic
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.8% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:00 |
Partick Thistle
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.3% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 15:00 |
Partick Thistle
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 16.2% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 15:00 |
Queen's Park
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.7% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.