Paris Saint-Germain
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 5 Oct 2026.
Over 657 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Paris Saint-Germain drew 105 where the draw model expected 116.9 from those particular fixtures — about 12 fewer, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 165.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 27 Oct 2017 → 18 Mar 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 28 | 18 Feb 2020 → 24 Nov 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 20 | 29 Jan 2025 → 19 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 20 | 30 Jul 2019 → 22 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 19 | 01 Feb 2023 → 21 May 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 19 | 15 Mar 2015 → 30 Aug 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 15 | 25 Apr 2025 → 13 Jul 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 15 | 16 Oct 2022 → 23 Jan 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 15 | 11 Jul 2018 → 20 Oct 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 15 | 26 Feb 2017 → 14 May 2017 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 1 | 1216 | 297 | 24.4% | 3 | 21 |
| UEFA Champions League | 190 | 35 | 18.4% | 1 | 19 |
| Coupe de France | 97 | 7 | 7.2% | 2 | 6 |
| UEFA Europa League | 72 | 24 | 33.3% | 3 | 6 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 38 | 6 | 15.8% | 1 | 13 |
| Club Friendlies | 30 | 9 | 30.0% | 0 | 4 |
| Trophée des Champions | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 1 | 1 |
| FIFA Club World Cup | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 | 7 |
| UEFA Super Cup | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 | 2 |
| FIFA Intercontinental Cup | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 12 |
| 2025 | 67 | 8 | 11.9% | 20 |
| 2024 | 55 | 14 | 25.5% | 6 |
| 2023 | 54 | 9 | 16.7% | 19 |
| 2022 | 52 | 9 | 17.3% | 13 |
| 2021 | 66 | 12 | 18.2% | 14 |
| 2020 | 47 | 4 | 8.5% | 28 |
| 2019 | 58 | 7 | 12.1% | 20 |
| 2018 | 53 | 8 | 15.1% | 18 |
| 2017 | 53 | 5 | 9.4% | 15 |
| 2016 | 55 | 10 | 18.2% | 9 |
| 2015 | 55 | 9 | 16.4% | 19 |
| 2014 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 14 |
| 2013 | 52 | 13 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 2012 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 9 |
| 2011 | 54 | 14 | 25.9% | 8 |
| 2010 | 54 | 19 | 35.2% | 7 |
| 2009 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 8 |
| 2008 | 54 | 13 | 24.1% | 9 |
| 2007 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 9 |
| 2006 | 47 | 19 | 40.4% | 4 |
| 2005 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 7 |
| 2004 | 44 | 15 | 34.1% | 6 |
| 2003 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 9 |
| 2002 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 6 |
| 2001 | 41 | 18 | 43.9% | 6 |
| 2000 | 44 | 14 | 31.8% | 7 |
| 1999 | 34 | 5 | 14.7% | 9 |
| 1998 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 7 |
| 1997 | 51 | 11 | 21.6% | 13 |
| 1996 | 48 | 12 | 25.0% | 14 |
| 1995 | 47 | 10 | 21.3% | 12 |
| 1994 | 49 | 13 | 26.5% | 8 |
| 1993 | 26 | 5 | 19.2% | 6 |
| 1992 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 1989 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1986 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1984 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1982 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 18:45 |
Paris Saint-Germain
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 16.3% |
|
| Wed, 14 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 14 Oct 19:00 |
Manchester City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 15:15 |
RC Strasbourg
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Tue, 20 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 20 Oct 19:00 |
Paris Saint-Germain
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 19:45 |
Paris Saint-Germain
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.6% |
|
| Fri, 30 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 30 Oct 18:00 |
Le Havre AC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 17.3% |
|
| Tue, 03 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Nov 20:00 |
Villarreal CF
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 19:45 |
Paris Saint-Germain
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 16.1% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.