PAOK Thessaloniki
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 30 Sep 2026.
Over 565 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), PAOK Thessaloniki drew 119 where the draw model expected 125.0 from those particular fixtures — about 6 fewer, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 133.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 29 Nov 2017 → 23 Sep 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 20 | 23 Jan 2025 → 24 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 19 | 11 Nov 2018 → 30 Jan 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 19 | 31 Mar 1982 → 29 Jul 1983 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 18 | 04 Apr 1999 → 09 Sep 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 17 | 12 Nov 2023 → 04 Feb 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 17 | 07 Dec 2019 → 23 Feb 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 15 | 09 Nov 1997 → 29 Jan 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 15 | 20 Oct 1976 → 19 Apr 1978 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 14 | 11 Dec 2016 → 09 Feb 2017 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super League Greece | 1027 | 222 | 21.6% | 5 | 26 |
| Greek Football Cup | 397 | 80 | 20.2% | 0 | 19 |
| UEFA Europa League | 172 | 49 | 28.5% | 4 | 7 |
| UEFA Conference League | 22 | 3 | 13.6% | 6 | 7 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 2 | 4 |
| UEFA Champions League | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 0 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 29 | 10 | 34.5% | 7 |
| 2025 | 56 | 9 | 16.1% | 20 |
| 2024 | 55 | 7 | 12.7% | 11 |
| 2023 | 49 | 10 | 20.4% | 8 |
| 2022 | 48 | 14 | 29.2% | 9 |
| 2021 | 56 | 12 | 21.4% | 13 |
| 2020 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 13 |
| 2019 | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 7 |
| 2018 | 44 | 2 | 4.6% | 25 |
| 2017 | 48 | 7 | 14.6% | 12 |
| 2016 | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 11 |
| 2015 | 50 | 17 | 34.0% | 6 |
| 2014 | 49 | 6 | 12.2% | 13 |
| 2013 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 11 |
| 2012 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 11 |
| 2011 | 45 | 15 | 33.3% | 9 |
| 2010 | 46 | 10 | 21.7% | 9 |
| 2009 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 9 |
| 2008 | 32 | 9 | 28.1% | 7 |
| 2007 | 32 | 4 | 12.5% | 9 |
| 2006 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 8 |
| 2005 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 8 |
| 2004 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 8 |
| 2003 | 47 | 10 | 21.3% | 10 |
| 2002 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 9 |
| 2001 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 7 |
| 2000 | 49 | 13 | 26.5% | 9 |
| 1999 | 43 | 6 | 14.0% | 18 |
| 1998 | 43 | 8 | 18.6% | 9 |
| 1997 | 44 | 9 | 20.5% | 14 |
| 1996 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 5 |
| 1995 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 12 |
| 1994 | 14 | 5 | 35.7% | 5 |
| 1993 | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 |
| 1992 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 1991 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 6 |
| 1990 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1989 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 10 |
| 1984 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 1983 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 10 |
| 1982 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 9 |
| 1981 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 10 |
| 1980 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 1979 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1978 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1977 | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 9 |
| 1976 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1975 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1974 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 3 |
| 1973 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1972 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1971 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1970 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1969 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1965 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1964 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1963 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1962 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1961 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1959 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1958 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1957 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1955 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1954 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1952 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1951 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1950 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1949 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1948 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1947 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1939 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1932 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1931 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, 12 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 12 Oct 15:00 |
PAOK Thessaloniki
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.5% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 18:00 |
PAOK Thessaloniki
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 14.2% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 18:00 |
OFI Crete
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 17:00 |
PAOK Thessaloniki
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 14.2% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 19:00 |
Olympiacos Piraeus
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.