☆
· GRE · Super League Greece
Team ☆
all results ›
GRE · Club
Asteras Tripolis
Asteras Tripolis
Played
730
Draw %
28.8%
No-draw N
1
Max streak
21
20 Oct 2015 → 17 Jan 2016
Avg top run
13.7
top 10
Draw debt E
0.30
p50
34.0%
p100
27.0%
Draw score
0.128
rank #1,284
Draws
210
Trophies
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,593
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,777
reached 17 Mar 2013
Rank
#561
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
730
last 10 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 445 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Asteras Tripolis drew 128 where the draw model expected 114.3 from those particular fixtures — about 14 more, or 1.5 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 106.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 21
20 Oct 2015 → 17 Jan 2016
2 17
27 Oct 2024 → 03 Feb 2025
3 15
24 Nov 2018 → 16 Feb 2019
4 14
14 Dec 2021 → 19 Mar 2022
5 14
09 Feb 2013 → 27 Apr 2013
6 12
09 Oct 2023 → 07 Jan 2024
7 11
20 Dec 2025 → 08 Mar 2026
8 11
19 Aug 2014 → 04 Oct 2014
9 11
02 Feb 2014 → 29 Mar 2014
10 11
30 Oct 2011 → 11 Jan 2012
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 20 Oct 2015 → 17 Jan 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 27 Oct 2024 → 03 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 24 Nov 2018 → 16 Feb 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 14 Dec 2021 → 19 Mar 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 09 Feb 2013 → 27 Apr 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 09 Oct 2023 → 07 Jan 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 20 Dec 2025 → 08 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 19 Aug 2014 → 04 Oct 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 02 Feb 2014 → 29 Mar 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 30 Oct 2011 → 11 Jan 2012 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super League Greece | 610 | 177 | 29.0% | 1 | 15 |
| Greek Football Cup | 91 | 20 | 22.0% | 4 | 8 |
| UEFA Europa League | 26 | 11 | 42.3% | 0 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 | 1 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31 | 9 | 29.0% | 10 |
| 2025 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 7 |
| 2024 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 11 |
| 2023 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 10 |
| 2022 | 34 | 12 | 35.3% | 12 |
| 2021 | 41 | 15 | 36.6% | 9 |
| 2020 | 32 | 13 | 40.6% | 3 |
| 2019 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 2018 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 8 |
| 2017 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 10 |
| 2016 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 9 |
| 2015 | 46 | 10 | 21.7% | 16 |
| 2014 | 48 | 10 | 20.8% | 11 |
| 2013 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 14 |
| 2012 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 10 |
| 2011 | 28 | 6 | 21.4% | 8 |
| 2010 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 8 |
| 2009 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 8 |
| 2008 | 33 | 15 | 45.5% | 7 |
| 2007 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 6 |
| 2006 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2005 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1953 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Matches
all results ›
731 matches · page 1 / 19
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Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 18 Oct 14:30 |
Panathinaikos
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 16.1% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 24 Oct 16:30 |
Asteras Tripolis
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 01 Nov 17:00 |
PAOK Thessaloniki
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 14.2% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 08 Nov 15:00 |
Asteras Tripolis
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
| Mon, 23 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 23 Nov 15:00 |
Asteras Tripolis
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.9% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.