Palermo
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 425 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Palermo drew 134 where the draw model expected 123.6 from those particular fixtures — about 10 more, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 128.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 24 Sep 2006 → 30 Nov 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 22 Apr 2006 → 20 Sep 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 01 Dec 2024 → 31 Jan 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 07 Feb 2021 → 07 Apr 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 30 Jan 2011 → 03 Apr 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 30 Nov 2008 → 08 Feb 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 22 Apr 2007 → 09 Sep 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 29 Nov 2015 → 24 Jan 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 04 Nov 2010 → 11 Dec 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 23 Aug 2008 → 26 Oct 2008 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A | 456 | 127 | 27.9% | 3 | 17 |
| Serie B | 399 | 135 | 33.8% | 1 | 10 |
| Serie C | 72 | 23 | 31.9% | 4 | 10 |
| Coppa Italia | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 2 | 3 |
| UEFA Europa League | 28 | 6 | 21.4% | 0 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 28 | 7 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2025 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 8 |
| 2024 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 2023 | 39 | 16 | 41.0% | 7 |
| 2022 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 7 |
| 2021 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 10 |
| 2020 | 16 | 6 | 37.5% | 5 |
| 2019 | 18 | 8 | 44.4% | 3 |
| 2018 | 41 | 16 | 39.0% | 5 |
| 2017 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 5 |
| 2016 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 7 |
| 2015 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 7 |
| 2014 | 38 | 14 | 36.8% | 6 |
| 2013 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 7 |
| 2012 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 7 |
| 2011 | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 10 |
| 2010 | 47 | 10 | 21.3% | 9 |
| 2009 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 6 |
| 2008 | 40 | 6 | 15.0% | 9 |
| 2007 | 40 | 16 | 40.0% | 10 |
| 2006 | 47 | 9 | 19.2% | 12 |
| 2005 | 49 | 20 | 40.8% | 4 |
| 2004 | 42 | 14 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2003 | 42 | 18 | 42.9% | 6 |
| 2002 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 8 |
| 2001 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 7 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 13:00 |
Empoli
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.8% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 15:15 |
Mantova 1911
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.6% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 14:00 |
Palermo
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 19.1% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 18:00 |
Pisa SC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.6% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 18:30 |
Palermo
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 18.3% |
|
| Fri, 06 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 06 Nov 19:30 |
Ascoli Calcio
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.7% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.