Team all results ›

GER · Club

SC Paderborn 07

League Bundesliga · 12th · 4 pts · 4 played Cup DFB-Pokal · First round Still in

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Played 784

Draw % 25.4%

No-draw N 4

Max streak 20 29 Jul 2017 → 09 Dec 2017

Avg top run 12.2 top 10

Draw debt E 0.98

p50 24.0%

p100 25.0%

Draw score 0.231 rank #586 Draws 199

Trophies 2 competitions

GER · 2. Bundesliga

🥈 2 × Runner-up (2013, 2018)

🥉 1 × Third (2025)

GER · 3. Liga

🥈 1 × Runner-up (2017)

🥉 1 × Third (2008)

Team strength · Elo all ratings ›

Rating 1,811 everyone starts at 1500

Peak 1,824 reached 9 Nov 2025

Rank #131 of 14,598 clubs

Matches rated 784 last 30 Sep 2026

What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Oct 2026.

Recent form · draws highlighted

L L W D L W L W D W W D D W W W D L L D W L W D W D L L W W

Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 444 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), SC Paderborn 07 drew 108 where the draw model expected 112.0 from those particular fixtures — about 4 fewer, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 118.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

Longest no-draw runs all on the records page ›

#	Run	From → To
1	20	29 Jul 2017 → 09 Dec 2017	▸ matches
2	15	29 Apr 2016 → 14 Oct 2016	▸ matches
3	15	02 May 2015 → 23 Sep 2015	▸ matches
4	14	04 Mar 2007 → 17 Aug 2007	▸ matches
5	11	27 Nov 2012 → 15 Mar 2013	▸ matches
6	10	28 Oct 2023 → 21 Jan 2024	▸ matches
7	10	07 Aug 2005 → 21 Oct 2005	▸ matches
8	9	30 Oct 2022 → 17 Feb 2023	▸ matches
9	9	06 May 2022 → 20 Aug 2022	▸ matches
10	9	06 Aug 2021 → 07 Oct 2021	▸ matches

By competition (all-time)

Competition	P	D	Draw%	N	Max
2. Bundesliga	544	148	27.2%	1	13
3. Liga	114	24	21.1%	2	18
Bundesliga	72	19	26.4%	3	8
DFB-Pokal	41	6	14.6%	1	4
Club Friendlies	13	2	15.4%	1	2

By calendar year

Year	P	D	Draw%	Max
2026	26	7	26.9%	4
2025	37	7	18.9%	7
2024	36	11	30.6%	8
2023	39	8	20.5%	9
2022	36	9	25.0%	9
2021	43	15	34.9%	9
2020	33	9	27.3%	6
2019	37	6	16.2%	9
2018	39	13	33.3%	5
2017	43	7	16.3%	20
2016	35	8	22.9%	15
2015	40	8	20.0%	15
2014	33	10	30.3%	4
2013	36	9	25.0%	7
2012	35	9	25.7%	8
2011	38	12	31.6%	4
2010	35	6	17.1%	9
2009	36	11	30.6%	6
2008	38	8	21.1%	9
2007	36	11	30.6%	14
2006	36	13	36.1%	9
2005	17	2	11.8%	10

Matches all results ›

Date	Home	Score	Away	R	Tournament
05 Mar 2006	SC Paderborn 07	0–2	Dynamo Dresden	A	GER · 2. Bundesliga
24 Feb 2006	Greuther Fürth	1–1	SC Paderborn 07	D	GER · 2. Bundesliga
19 Feb 2006	SC Paderborn 07	3–0	Hansa Rostock	H	GER · 2. Bundesliga
12 Feb 2006	Rot Weiss Ahlen	0–2	SC Paderborn 07	A	GER · 2. Bundesliga
05 Feb 2006	SC Paderborn 07	0–0	Energie Cottbus	D	GER · 2. Bundesliga
28 Jan 2006	1. FC Saarbrücken	0–0	SC Paderborn 07	D	GER · 2. Bundesliga
22 Jan 2006	SC Paderborn 07	1–1	SpVgg Unterhaching	D	GER · 2. Bundesliga
19 Dec 2005	SC Paderborn 07	2–0	Karlsruher SC	H	GER · 2. Bundesliga
09 Dec 2005	Erzgebirge Aue	1–0	SC Paderborn 07	H	GER · 2. Bundesliga
04 Dec 2005	SC Paderborn 07	1–3	Wacker Burghausen	A	GER · 2. Bundesliga
27 Nov 2005	Alemannia Aachen	2–1	SC Paderborn 07	H	GER · 2. Bundesliga
18 Nov 2005	SC Paderborn 07	4–0	Sportfreunde Siegen	H	GER · 2. Bundesliga
06 Nov 2005	SC Paderborn 07	1–1	SC Freiburg	D	GER · 2. Bundesliga
28 Oct 2005	VfL Bochum	1–1	SC Paderborn 07	D	GER · 2. Bundesliga
21 Oct 2005	SC Paderborn 07	3–0	Eintracht Braunschweig	H	GER · 2. Bundesliga
14 Oct 2005	TSV 1860 München	1–0	SC Paderborn 07	H	GER · 2. Bundesliga
02 Oct 2005	SC Paderborn 07	4–1	Kickers Offenbach	H	GER · 2. Bundesliga
25 Sep 2005	Dynamo Dresden	0–2	SC Paderborn 07	A	GER · 2. Bundesliga
21 Sep 2005	SC Paderborn 07	1–2	Greuther Fürth	A	GER · 2. Bundesliga
18 Sep 2005	Hansa Rostock	2–0	SC Paderborn 07	H	GER · 2. Bundesliga
11 Sep 2005	SC Paderborn 07	1–0	Rot Weiss Ahlen	H	GER · 2. Bundesliga
28 Aug 2005	Energie Cottbus	1–2	SC Paderborn 07	A	GER · 2. Bundesliga
14 Aug 2005	SC Paderborn 07	5–0	1. FC Saarbrücken	H	GER · 2. Bundesliga
07 Aug 2005	SpVgg Unterhaching	3–0	SC Paderborn 07	H	GER · 2. Bundesliga

784 matches · page 20 / 20 ‹ prev next ›

Upcoming fixtures opening 1 / X / 2 — draw price highlighted

Date	Home	·	Away	1 / X / 2	Draw · logistic	Tournament
Sat, 10 Oct 2026
10 Oct 13:30	SC Paderborn 07	vs	VfB Stuttgart	– / – / –	24.4%	GER · Bundesliga
Sat, 17 Oct 2026
17 Oct 13:30	Werder Bremen	vs	SC Paderborn 07	– / – / –	26.7%	GER · Bundesliga
Sat, 24 Oct 2026
24 Oct 13:30	SC Paderborn 07	vs	Hamburger SV	– / – / –	24.4%	GER · Bundesliga
Wed, 28 Oct 2026
28 Oct 17:00	SC Paderborn 07	vs	VfB Stuttgart	– / – / –	18.2%	GER · DFB-Pokal
Sat, 31 Oct 2026
31 Oct 14:30	M'gladbach	vs	SC Paderborn 07	– / – / –	24.8%	GER · Bundesliga
Sat, 07 Nov 2026
07 Nov 14:30	SC Paderborn 07	vs	Eintracht Frankfurt	– / – / –	25.3%	GER · Bundesliga
Sat, 09 Jan 2027
09 Jan	SC Paderborn 07	vs	RB Leipzig	– / – / –	25.3%	GER · Bundesliga
Sat, 08 May 2027
08 May	RB Leipzig	vs	SC Paderborn 07	– / – / –	20.8%	GER · Bundesliga

Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.