Real Oviedo
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 485 matches (Aug 2015 – Sep 2026), Real Oviedo drew 152 where the draw model expected 147.6 from those particular fixtures — about 4 more, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 142.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 12 Nov 2016 → 19 Feb 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 22 Oct 2000 → 14 Jan 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 09 May 1999 → 03 Oct 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 14 Oct 2017 → 23 Dec 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 08 Mar 1998 → 15 May 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 23 Feb 1997 → 04 May 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 08 May 1996 → 13 Oct 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 06 Aug 2025 → 17 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 31 Mar 2018 → 02 Jun 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 23 Apr 2016 → 27 Aug 2016 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Segunda División | 511 | 164 | 32.1% | 3 | 13 |
| La Liga | 350 | 106 | 30.3% | 3 | 13 |
| Copa del Rey | 22 | 8 | 36.4% | 0 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| UEFA Europa League | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 30 | 9 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 2025 | 41 | 14 | 34.2% | 10 |
| 2024 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 8 |
| 2023 | 45 | 15 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2022 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 6 |
| 2021 | 47 | 24 | 51.1% | 4 |
| 2020 | 41 | 14 | 34.2% | 7 |
| 2019 | 45 | 13 | 28.9% | 7 |
| 2018 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 10 |
| 2017 | 44 | 10 | 22.7% | 11 |
| 2016 | 44 | 13 | 29.5% | 10 |
| 2015 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2014 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 26 | 8 | 30.8% | 6 |
| 2002 | 38 | 15 | 39.5% | 5 |
| 2001 | 42 | 15 | 35.7% | 6 |
| 2000 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 11 |
| 1999 | 40 | 14 | 35.0% | 12 |
| 1998 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 11 |
| 1997 | 43 | 16 | 37.2% | 11 |
| 1996 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 11 |
| 1995 | 41 | 15 | 36.6% | 9 |
| 1994 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 9 |
| 1993 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 5 |
| 1991 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 02 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 02 Oct 18:30 |
CD Eldense
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 32.0% |
|
| Mon, 12 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 12 Oct 16:30 |
Real Oviedo
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 33.5% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 12:00 |
AD Ceuta
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.8% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 19:00 |
UD Almería
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.3% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 20:00 |
Real Oviedo
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.8% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 20:00 |
Cádiz CF
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.8% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.