What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Oct 2026.
Over 469 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Montrose drew 109 where the draw model expected 108.3 from those particular fixtures — about 1 more, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 103.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 30 Aug 2008 → 24 Jan 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 18 | 09 Apr 2011 → 08 Nov 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 16 | 02 May 2026 → 03 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 23 Sep 2006 → 20 Jan 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 15 | 23 Nov 2019 → 10 Mar 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 15 | 11 Apr 2015 → 17 Oct 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 14 | 21 Feb 2009 → 01 Aug 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 14 | 24 Apr 2001 → 29 Sep 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 13 | 02 Feb 2019 → 27 Apr 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 29 Jul 2023 → 04 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish League Two | 756 | 171 | 22.6% | 0 | 19 |
| Scottish League One | 275 | 67 | 24.4% | 10 | 17 |
| Scottish League Cup | 62 | 5 | 8.1% | 4 | 4 |
| Scottish Cup | 56 | 12 | 21.4% | 2 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Scottish Challenge Cup | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 16 |
| 2025 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 8 |
| 2024 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 7 |
| 2023 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 12 |
| 2022 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 8 |
| 2021 | 40 | 15 | 37.5% | 8 |
| 2020 | 23 | 3 | 13.0% | 9 |
| 2019 | 42 | 5 | 11.9% | 13 |
| 2018 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 10 |
| 2017 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 7 |
| 2016 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 6 |
| 2015 | 38 | 6 | 15.8% | 15 |
| 2014 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 11 |
| 2013 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 8 |
| 2012 | 40 | 8 | 20.0% | 10 |
| 2011 | 44 | 7 | 15.9% | 18 |
| 2010 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 7 |
| 2009 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 14 |
| 2008 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 16 |
| 2007 | 40 | 6 | 15.0% | 11 |
| 2006 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 13 |
| 2005 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 12 |
| 2004 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2003 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 6 |
| 2002 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 8 |
| 2001 | 40 | 8 | 20.0% | 14 |
| 2000 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 11 |
| 1999 | 36 | 4 | 11.1% | 10 |
| 1998 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 7 |
| 1997 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 5 |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.