Minnesota United
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 371 matches (Jun 2016 – Sep 2026), Minnesota United drew 93 where the draw model expected 92.9 from those particular fixtures — about 0 more, or 0.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 93.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 12 May 2019 → 14 Jul 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 16 Oct 2017 → 12 May 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 13 Mar 2022 → 15 May 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 08 Nov 2020 → 16 May 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 18 Jun 2018 → 05 Aug 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 23 Apr 2017 → 22 Jun 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 18 Jul 2024 → 29 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 23 May 2022 → 09 Jul 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 02 Aug 2020 → 14 Sep 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 06 Sep 2026 → 27 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLS | 338 | 82 | 24.3% | 7 | 13 |
| US Open Cup | 22 | 6 | 27.3% | 1 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 11 | 5 | 45.5% | 1 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31 | 9 | 29.0% | 7 |
| 2025 | 42 | 14 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2024 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 8 |
| 2023 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 5 |
| 2022 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 11 |
| 2021 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 2020 | 27 | 8 | 29.6% | 8 |
| 2019 | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 13 |
| 2018 | 36 | 4 | 11.1% | 11 |
| 2017 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 10 |
| 2016 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 00:30 |
Minnesota United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
| Wed, 14 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 14 Oct 01:30 |
Colorado Rapids
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 20:30 |
Minnesota United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.6% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 00:30 |
Houston Dynamo
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 00:30 |
Minnesota United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.0% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 01:30 |
Los Angeles FC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 00:00 |
Minnesota United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.