What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Oct 2026.

Recent form · draws highlighted

D W W D W W D L W W L W L L W D L L W L D D L W W W D D L W

Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 607 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), AC Milan drew 152 where the draw model expected 145.0 from those particular fixtures — about 7 more, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 156.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

Longest no-draw runs all on the records page ›

#	Run	From → To
1	24	19 Mar 1995 → 01 Oct 1995	▸ matches
2	19	04 Mar 2008 → 20 Sep 2008	▸ matches
3	18	21 May 2017 → 20 Oct 2017	▸ matches
4	17	25 Apr 2015 → 04 Oct 2015	▸ matches
5	17	23 Oct 2005 → 22 Jan 2006	▸ matches
6	14	16 Jan 2005 → 06 Apr 2005	▸ matches
7	14	28 Apr 1996 → 30 Oct 1996	▸ matches
8	13	10 Sep 2022 → 05 Nov 2022	▸ matches
9	13	01 Oct 2002 → 26 Nov 2002	▸ matches
10	13	16 Sep 1992 → 05 Sep 1993	▸ matches

By competition (all-time)

Competition	P	D	Draw%	N	Max
Serie A	1215	324	26.7%	1	21
UEFA Champions League	280	73	26.1%	0	14
UEFA Europa League	105	22	21.0%	1	7
Coppa Italia	64	19	29.7%	5	5
Club Friendlies	45	11	24.4%	2	7
UEFA Cup Winners' Cup	30	11	36.7%	2	5
UEFA Super Cup	12	3	25.0%	1	2
Inter-Cities Fairs Cup	11	2	18.2%	0	4
Intercontinental Cup (Toyota Cup)	10	2	20.0%	0	3
Supercoppa Italiana	7	1	14.3%	1	2
FIFA Club World Cup	2	0	0.0%	2	2

By calendar year

Year	P	D	Draw%	Max
2026	32	9	28.1%	8
2025	57	11	19.3%	12
2024	57	14	24.6%	11
2023	60	16	26.7%	9
2022	51	11	21.6%	13
2021	61	14	23.0%	9
2020	49	14	28.6%	11
2019	42	10	23.8%	7
2018	51	16	31.4%	7
2017	58	13	22.4%	18
2016	43	13	30.2%	6
2015	46	11	23.9%	17
2014	41	9	22.0%	12
2013	46	16	34.8%	5
2012	55	11	20.0%	8
2011	50	16	32.0%	8
2010	49	11	22.5%	8
2009	44	13	29.5%	5
2008	53	13	24.5%	19
2007	55	16	29.1%	8
2006	55	14	25.5%	9
2005	52	9	17.3%	14
2004	47	11	23.4%	8
2003	49	13	26.5%	5
2002	45	10	22.2%	13
2001	52	19	36.5%	6
2000	42	14	33.3%	8
1999	40	15	37.5%	7
1998	35	10	28.6%	7
1997	33	12	36.4%	6
1996	39	8	20.5%	14
1995	51	12	23.5%	24
1994	46	16	34.8%	10
1993	28	8	28.6%	7
1992	6	0	0.0%	6
1991	1	1	100.0%	0
1990	10	4	40.0%	3
1989	12	4	33.3%	6
1988	4	2	50.0%	2
1987	4	1	25.0%	3
1985	6	1	16.7%	4
1979	2	1	50.0%	1
1978	6	2	33.3%	2
1977	2	0	0.0%	2
1976	6	1	16.7%	5
1975	8	2	25.0%	5
1974	7	1	14.3%	3
1973	9	2	22.2%	5
1972	4	2	50.0%	2
1971	10	2	20.0%	7
1969	11	1	9.1%	10
1968	8	3	37.5%	3
1967	4	3	75.0%	1
1965	9	2	22.2%	4
1964	4	0	0.0%	2
1963	10	1	10.0%	5
1962	4	0	0.0%	4
1959	4	1	25.0%	3
1958	5	2	40.0%	3
1957	5	0	0.0%	5
1956	4	1	25.0%	3
1955	2	0	0.0%	2

Matches all results ›

Date	Home	Score	Away	R	Tournament
20 May 2005	AC Milan	3–3	Palermo	D	ITA · Serie A
15 May 2005	US Lecce	2–2	AC Milan	D	ITA · Serie A
08 May 2005	AC Milan	0–1	Juventus	A	ITA · Serie A
04 May 2005	PSV Eindhoven	3–1	AC Milan	H	ITL · UEFA Champions League Semi-final · Leg 2
30 Apr 2005	ACF Fiorentina	1–2	AC Milan	A	ITA · Serie A
26 Apr 2005	AC Milan	2–0	PSV Eindhoven	H	ITL · UEFA Champions League Semi-final · Leg 1
23 Apr 2005	AC Milan	3–0	Parma Calcio	H	ITA · Serie A
20 Apr 2005	AC Milan	1–0	Chievo Verona	H	ITA · Serie A
17 Apr 2005	Robur Siena	2–1	AC Milan	H	ITA · Serie A
12 Apr 2005	Inter Milan	0–3	AC Milan	A	ITL · UEFA Champions League Quarter-final · Leg 2
09 Apr 2005	AC Milan	1–1	Brescia Calcio	D	ITA · Serie A
06 Apr 2005	AC Milan	2–0	Inter Milan	H	ITL · UEFA Champions League Quarter-final · Leg 1
20 Mar 2005	AS Roma	0–2	AC Milan	A	ITA · Serie A
13 Mar 2005	AC Milan	1–0	UC Sampdoria	H	ITA · Serie A
08 Mar 2005	AC Milan	1–0	Manchester United	H	ITL · UEFA Champions League Round of 16 · Leg 2
05 Mar 2005	Atalanta BC	1–2	AC Milan	A	ITA · Serie A
27 Feb 2005	Inter Milan	0–1	AC Milan	A	ITA · Serie A
23 Feb 2005	Manchester United	0–1	AC Milan	A	ITL · UEFA Champions League Round of 16 · Leg 1
19 Feb 2005	AC Milan	1–0	Cagliari Calcio	H	ITA · Serie A
13 Feb 2005	Reggina 1914	0–1	AC Milan	A	ITA · Serie A
06 Feb 2005	AC Milan	2–1	SS Lazio	H	ITA · Serie A
02 Feb 2005	ACR Messina	1–4	AC Milan	A	ITA · Serie A
30 Jan 2005	AC Milan	0–1	Bologna	A	ITA · Serie A
23 Jan 2005	AS Livorno	1–0	AC Milan	H	ITA · Serie A
16 Jan 2005	AC Milan	3–1	Udinese Calcio	H	ITA · Serie A
09 Jan 2005	Palermo	0–0	AC Milan	D	ITA · Serie A
06 Jan 2005	AC Milan	5–2	US Lecce	H	ITA · Serie A
18 Dec 2004	Juventus	0–0	AC Milan	D	ITA · Serie A
12 Dec 2004	AC Milan	6–0	ACF Fiorentina	H	ITA · Serie A
07 Dec 2004	Celtic	0–0	AC Milan	D	ITL · UEFA Champions League Group stage
04 Dec 2004	Parma Calcio	1–2	AC Milan	A	ITA · Serie A
28 Nov 2004	Chievo Verona	0–1	AC Milan	A	ITA · Serie A
24 Nov 2004	AC Milan	4–0	Shakhtar Donetsk	H	ITL · UEFA Champions League Group stage
14 Nov 2004	AC Milan	2–1	Robur Siena	H	ITA · Serie A
10 Nov 2004	Brescia Calcio	0–0	AC Milan	D	ITA · Serie A
07 Nov 2004	AC Milan	1–1	AS Roma	D	ITA · Serie A
02 Nov 2004	Barcelona	2–1	AC Milan	H	ITL · UEFA Champions League Group stage
30 Oct 2004	UC Sampdoria	0–1	AC Milan	A	ITA · Serie A
27 Oct 2004	AC Milan	3–0	Atalanta BC	H	ITA · Serie A
24 Oct 2004	AC Milan	0–0	Inter Milan	D	ITA · Serie A

1,782 matches · page 28 / 45 ‹ prev next ›

Upcoming fixtures opening 1 / X / 2 — draw price highlighted

Date	Home	·	Away	1 / X / 2	Draw · logistic	Tournament
Sun, 11 Oct 2026
11 Oct 16:00	US Sassuolo	vs	AC Milan	– / – / –	27.4%	ITA · Serie A
Thu, 15 Oct 2026
15 Oct 16:45	Red Bull Salzburg	vs	AC Milan	– / – / –	23.0%	ITL · UEFA Europa League League phase
Sun, 18 Oct 2026
18 Oct 16:00	AC Milan	vs	Atalanta BC	– / – / –	28.1%	ITA · Serie A
Thu, 22 Oct 2026
22 Oct 19:00	Bournemouth	vs	AC Milan	– / – / –	20.8%	ITL · UEFA Europa League League phase
Sun, 25 Oct 2026
25 Oct 19:45	Udinese Calcio	vs	AC Milan	– / – / –	28.1%	ITA · Serie A
Wed, 28 Oct 2026
28 Oct 17:30	AC Milan	vs	Bologna	– / – / –	27.0%	ITA · Serie A
Sat, 31 Oct 2026
31 Oct 19:45	AC Milan	vs	Inter Milan	– / – / –	27.0%	ITA · Serie A
Thu, 05 Nov 2026
05 Nov 17:45	AC Milan	vs	Ferencvárosi TC	– / – / –	19.5%	ITL · UEFA Europa League League phase
Sun, 08 Nov 2026
08 Nov 14:00	Genoa CFC	vs	AC Milan	– / – / –	28.1%	ITA · Serie A

Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.