CS Marítimo
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 30 Sep 2026.
Over 311 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), CS Marítimo drew 73 where the draw model expected 80.5 from those particular fixtures — about 8 fewer, or 1.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 79.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 08 Apr 2001 → 15 Dec 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 08 Jan 2023 → 29 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 16 | 11 Mar 2016 → 02 Oct 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 11 May 2014 → 08 Dec 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 28 Oct 2007 → 23 Feb 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 26 Mar 2004 → 25 Sep 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 22 Sep 2002 → 23 Dec 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 04 Mar 2019 → 18 May 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 13 Sep 2015 → 19 Dec 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 08 Jan 2011 → 01 Apr 2011 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primeira Liga | 961 | 247 | 25.7% | 0 | 24 |
| UEFA Europa League | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 1 | 6 |
| Taça de Portugal | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2025 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2024 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2023 | 22 | 1 | 4.6% | 16 |
| 2022 | 33 | 11 | 33.3% | 9 |
| 2021 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 2020 | 31 | 7 | 22.6% | 6 |
| 2019 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 11 |
| 2018 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 8 |
| 2017 | 38 | 14 | 36.8% | 4 |
| 2016 | 35 | 5 | 14.3% | 16 |
| 2015 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 11 |
| 2014 | 30 | 5 | 16.7% | 13 |
| 2013 | 32 | 11 | 34.4% | 8 |
| 2012 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2011 | 29 | 5 | 17.2% | 11 |
| 2010 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 9 |
| 2009 | 32 | 10 | 31.3% | 5 |
| 2008 | 30 | 6 | 20.0% | 11 |
| 2007 | 30 | 9 | 30.0% | 7 |
| 2006 | 32 | 9 | 28.1% | 11 |
| 2005 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 6 |
| 2004 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 13 |
| 2003 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 8 |
| 2002 | 33 | 5 | 15.2% | 12 |
| 2001 | 39 | 4 | 10.3% | 28 |
| 2000 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 10 |
| 1999 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 6 |
| 1998 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 8 |
| 1997 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 10 |
| 1996 | 31 | 9 | 29.0% | 7 |
| 1995 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 7 |
| 1994 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 5 |
| 1993 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 17:00 |
CS Marítimo
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 16.2% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 14:00 | Alcochetense | vs |
|
– / – / – | 18.5% |
|
| Fri, 23 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 23 Oct 19:45 |
Vitória de Guimarães
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 18:00 |
CS Marítimo
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.3% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 15:30 |
GD Estoril Praia
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.