1. FC Magdeburg
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 426 matches (Jul 2015 – Sep 2026), 1. FC Magdeburg drew 115 where the draw model expected 115.8 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 115.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 07 Aug 2021 → 11 Dec 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 20 May 2017 → 29 Oct 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 02 May 2025 → 09 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 20 Dec 2025 → 06 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 12 Jan 2021 → 02 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 22 Mar 2026 → 25 Jul 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 01 Apr 2018 → 05 Aug 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 26 Oct 2025 → 07 Dec 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 27 Sep 1978 → 25 Aug 1979 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 03 Sep 2022 → 23 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3. Liga | 228 | 64 | 28.1% | 0 | 16 |
| 2. Bundesliga | 176 | 46 | 26.1% | 0 | 13 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 3 | 8 |
| UEFA Europa League | 28 | 3 | 10.7% | 3 | 6 |
| DFB-Pokal | 22 | 6 | 27.3% | 1 | 3 |
| UEFA Champions League | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 0 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 27 | 3 | 11.1% | 9 |
| 2025 | 39 | 6 | 15.4% | 14 |
| 2024 | 35 | 13 | 37.1% | 3 |
| 2023 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 5 |
| 2022 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 7 |
| 2021 | 44 | 6 | 13.6% | 17 |
| 2020 | 34 | 14 | 41.2% | 7 |
| 2019 | 37 | 15 | 40.5% | 6 |
| 2018 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 9 |
| 2017 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 17 |
| 2016 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 7 |
| 2015 | 21 | 8 | 38.1% | 5 |
| 2014 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2013 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2007 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1990 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1986 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1981 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1980 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1979 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1978 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1977 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 1976 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1975 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1974 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1973 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1972 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1969 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1966 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1964 | 3 | 3 | 100.0% | 0 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 11:00 |
1. FC Magdeburg
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 11:30 |
Dynamo Dresden
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.8% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 11:00 |
1. FC Magdeburg
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 19:45 |
FC Bayern München
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 11.1% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 12:00 |
SV Darmstadt 98
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 12:30 |
1. FC Magdeburg
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.