☆
· POL · Ekstraklasa
Team ☆
all results ›
POL · Club
Lech Poznań
Lech Poznań
Played
777
Draw %
24.5%
No-draw N
2
Max streak
19
04 Nov 2015 → 01 Apr 2016
Avg top run
12.4
top 10
Draw debt E
0.43
p50
24.0%
p100
20.0%
Draw score
0.143
rank #1,130
Draws
190
Trophies
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,815
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,878
reached 30 Jul 2023
Rank
#130
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
777
last 15 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 17 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 510 matches (Feb 2015 – Oct 2026), Lech Poznań drew 125 where the draw model expected 131.2 from those particular fixtures — about 6 fewer, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 132.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 19
04 Nov 2015 → 01 Apr 2016
2 13
09 Dec 2025 → 22 Mar 2026
3 13
17 Aug 2024 → 23 Nov 2024
4 13
30 Sep 2012 → 10 Mar 2013
5 12
06 Dec 2024 → 21 Apr 2025
6 12
05 Aug 2013 → 29 Sep 2013
7 11
24 Nov 2018 → 15 Mar 2019
8 11
18 Feb 2018 → 28 Apr 2018
9 11
28 Sep 1983 → 21 Nov 1984
10 9
16 Apr 2022 → 31 Jul 2022
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 04 Nov 2015 → 01 Apr 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 09 Dec 2025 → 22 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 17 Aug 2024 → 23 Nov 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 30 Sep 2012 → 10 Mar 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 06 Dec 2024 → 21 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 05 Aug 2013 → 29 Sep 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 24 Nov 2018 → 15 Mar 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 18 Feb 2018 → 28 Apr 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 28 Sep 1983 → 21 Nov 1984 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 16 Apr 2022 → 31 Jul 2022 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ekstraklasa | 498 | 128 | 25.7% | 8 | 17 |
| Polish Cup | 148 | 36 | 24.3% | 3 | 10 |
| UEFA Europa League | 80 | 17 | 21.3% | 2 | 6 |
| UEFA Conference League | 22 | 5 | 22.7% | 5 | 5 |
| UEFA Champions League | 20 | 1 | 5.0% | 4 | 4 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 0 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% | 12 |
| 2025 | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 11 |
| 2024 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 13 |
| 2023 | 45 | 13 | 28.9% | 7 |
| 2022 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 9 |
| 2021 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 7 |
| 2020 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 5 |
| 2019 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 6 |
| 2018 | 44 | 8 | 18.2% | 11 |
| 2017 | 48 | 16 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2016 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 9 |
| 2015 | 56 | 11 | 19.6% | 10 |
| 2014 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 9 |
| 2013 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 12 |
| 2012 | 24 | 5 | 20.8% | 10 |
| 2011 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 2010 | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 6 |
| 2009 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 2008 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 2007 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2006 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2005 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 2004 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2003 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2002 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2001 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2000 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1999 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1998 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1997 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1996 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1995 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1994 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1993 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1992 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1991 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1989 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1988 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 4 |
| 1987 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1985 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1984 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 1983 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1982 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1980 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1978 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1950 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Matches
all results ›
Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 18 Oct |
Lech Poznań
|
vs |
|
1.43 4.44 5.92 | 22.8% |
|
| Thu, 22 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 22 Oct 16:45 |
Lech Poznań
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.5% |
|
| Thu, 05 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 05 Nov 20:00 |
SL Benfica
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 17.2% |
|
| Thu, 26 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 26 Nov 17:45 |
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 18.2% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.