☆
· POL · Ekstraklasa
Team ☆
all results ›
POL · Club
Jagiellonia Białystok
Jagiellonia Białystok
Played
655
Draw %
27.0%
No-draw N
13
Max streak
17
24 Nov 2017 → 29 Apr 2018
Avg top run
11.9
top 10
Draw debt E
3.54
p50
26.0%
p100
28.0%
Draw score
0.611
rank #24
Draws
177
Trophies
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,698
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,826
reached 7 Nov 2024
Rank
#295
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
655
last 10 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 480 matches (Feb 2015 – Oct 2026), Jagiellonia Białystok drew 122 where the draw model expected 126.1 from those particular fixtures — about 4 fewer, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 126.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 17
24 Nov 2017 → 29 Apr 2018
2 13
23 May 2026 → 10 Oct 2026
3 13
21 Sep 2020 → 07 Feb 2021
4 13
23 Oct 2016 → 11 Mar 2017
5 12
25 May 2024 → 03 Oct 2024
6 11
23 Jul 2016 → 28 Sep 2016
7 11
17 May 2015 → 02 Aug 2015
8 10
19 Oct 2019 → 08 Feb 2020
9 10
09 May 2018 → 26 Aug 2018
10 9
23 Apr 2019 → 27 Jul 2019
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 24 Nov 2017 → 29 Apr 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 23 May 2026 → 10 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 21 Sep 2020 → 07 Feb 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 23 Oct 2016 → 11 Mar 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 25 May 2024 → 03 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 23 Jul 2016 → 28 Sep 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 17 May 2015 → 02 Aug 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 19 Oct 2019 → 08 Feb 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 09 May 2018 → 26 Aug 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 23 Apr 2019 → 27 Jul 2019 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ekstraklasa | 498 | 137 | 27.5% | 10 | 17 |
| Polish Cup | 111 | 28 | 25.2% | 2 | 4 |
| UEFA Conference League | 26 | 8 | 30.8% | 2 | 5 |
| UEFA Europa League | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 1 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 30 | 6 | 20.0% | 13 |
| 2025 | 56 | 16 | 28.6% | 8 |
| 2024 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 12 |
| 2023 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 8 |
| 2022 | 34 | 14 | 41.2% | 5 |
| 2021 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 6 |
| 2020 | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 11 |
| 2019 | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 9 |
| 2018 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 12 |
| 2017 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 5 |
| 2016 | 38 | 5 | 13.2% | 11 |
| 2015 | 45 | 8 | 17.8% | 11 |
| 2014 | 41 | 15 | 36.6% | 7 |
| 2013 | 40 | 8 | 20.0% | 6 |
| 2012 | 17 | 11 | 64.7% | 2 |
| 2011 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 2010 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 3 |
| 2009 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2008 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2007 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2006 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2005 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2004 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2003 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2002 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2000 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1999 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1998 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1996 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1995 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1994 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1993 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1992 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1991 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1990 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1988 | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 |
| 1987 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1986 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1984 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1983 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
Matches
all results ›
656 matches · page 1 / 17
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Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, 15 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 15 Oct 19:00 |
Jagiellonia Białystok
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Thu, 22 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 22 Oct 19:00 |
Jagiellonia Białystok
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.2% |
|
| Thu, 05 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 05 Nov 17:45 |
Levski Sofia
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.2% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.