☆
· POL · Polish Cup
Team ☆
all results ›
Played
191
Draw %
25.1%
No-draw N
1
Max streak
19
05 Mar 2022 → 31 Aug 2022
Avg top run
7.4
top 10
Draw debt E
0.23
p50
22.0%
p100
23.0%
Draw score
0.119
rank #1,356
Draws
48
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,534
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,675
reached 21 Apr 2023
Rank
#1,255
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
191
last 5 Aug 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 14 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 149 matches (Jul 2017 – Aug 2026), Warta Poznań drew 36 where the draw model expected 42.0 from those particular fixtures — about 6 fewer, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 39.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 19
05 Mar 2022 → 31 Aug 2022
2 10
06 Apr 2024 → 31 Oct 2024
3 8
09 Feb 2021 → 05 Apr 2021
4 8
02 Nov 2020 → 30 Jan 2021
5 6
08 Apr 2023 → 15 May 2023
6 5
01 Sep 2023 → 30 Sep 2023
7 5
18 Sep 2022 → 19 Oct 2022
8 5
19 Sep 2021 → 17 Oct 2021
9 4
18 Feb 2023 → 08 Mar 2023
10 4
30 Oct 2021 → 28 Nov 2021
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 05 Mar 2022 → 31 Aug 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 06 Apr 2024 → 31 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 8 | 09 Feb 2021 → 05 Apr 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 02 Nov 2020 → 30 Jan 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 08 Apr 2023 → 15 May 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 01 Sep 2023 → 30 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 18 Sep 2022 → 19 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 19 Sep 2021 → 17 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 18 Feb 2023 → 08 Mar 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 30 Oct 2021 → 28 Nov 2021 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ekstraklasa | 132 | 32 | 24.2% | 8 | 18 |
| Polish Cup | 59 | 16 | 27.1% | 1 | 4 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2025 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2024 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 10 |
| 2023 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 6 |
| 2022 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 19 |
| 2021 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 8 |
| 2020 | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 7 |
| 2019 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2013 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2011 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2010 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2009 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2008 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2004 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1999 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1998 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1996 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1995 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1994 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1993 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1992 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1988 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1987 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1986 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1984 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1983 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1951 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1950 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1926 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1925 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Matches
all results ›
192 matches · page 1 / 5
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