SS Lazio
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 587 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), SS Lazio drew 127 where the draw model expected 142.4 from those particular fixtures — about 15 fewer, or 1.5 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 151.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 06 Jan 2021 → 15 May 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 20 | 27 Oct 2019 → 21 Jan 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 18 | 07 Jan 2012 → 11 Apr 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 17 | 04 Feb 2024 → 27 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 15 | 20 May 2018 → 04 Nov 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 16 Sep 2024 → 24 Nov 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 14 | 10 May 2015 → 18 Oct 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 14 | 13 Feb 2011 → 22 May 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 13 | 27 Aug 2017 → 29 Oct 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 13 | 20 Nov 2016 → 05 Feb 2017 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A | 1215 | 298 | 24.5% | 1 | 21 |
| UEFA Europa League | 162 | 39 | 24.1% | 2 | 8 |
| Coppa Italia | 73 | 15 | 20.5% | 2 | 7 |
| UEFA Champions League | 66 | 17 | 25.8% | 7 | 8 |
| Club Friendlies | 15 | 2 | 13.3% | 4 | 4 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 9 | 5 | 55.6% | 1 | 3 |
| Supercoppa Italiana | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| UEFA Conference League | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| UEFA Super Cup | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 12 |
| 2025 | 49 | 17 | 34.7% | 6 |
| 2024 | 52 | 8 | 15.4% | 17 |
| 2023 | 54 | 10 | 18.5% | 9 |
| 2022 | 45 | 13 | 28.9% | 8 |
| 2021 | 53 | 9 | 17.0% | 25 |
| 2020 | 44 | 10 | 22.7% | 10 |
| 2019 | 49 | 8 | 16.3% | 15 |
| 2018 | 54 | 13 | 24.1% | 15 |
| 2017 | 55 | 8 | 14.5% | 13 |
| 2016 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 11 |
| 2015 | 54 | 9 | 16.7% | 14 |
| 2014 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 11 |
| 2013 | 54 | 15 | 27.8% | 11 |
| 2012 | 53 | 10 | 18.9% | 18 |
| 2011 | 48 | 12 | 25.0% | 14 |
| 2010 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 9 |
| 2009 | 50 | 10 | 20.0% | 13 |
| 2008 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 13 |
| 2007 | 46 | 16 | 34.8% | 9 |
| 2006 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 6 |
| 2005 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 5 |
| 2004 | 42 | 15 | 35.7% | 5 |
| 2003 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 9 |
| 2002 | 44 | 13 | 29.5% | 6 |
| 2001 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 9 |
| 2000 | 46 | 10 | 21.7% | 8 |
| 1999 | 48 | 13 | 27.1% | 6 |
| 1998 | 42 | 14 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 1997 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 5 |
| 1996 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 6 |
| 1995 | 39 | 6 | 15.4% | 11 |
| 1994 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 1993 | 20 | 6 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 1977 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1975 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1973 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1970 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 03 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Oct 13:00 |
SS Lazio
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 17.4% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 13:00 |
SS Lazio
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.6% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 18:45 |
Juventus
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 18:45 |
SS Lazio
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 27 Oct 17:30 |
US Sassuolo
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 14:00 |
SS Lazio
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.8% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 11:30 |
SSC Napoli
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.