Kidderminster Harriers
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 134 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Kidderminster Harriers drew 36 where the draw model expected 35.9 from those particular fixtures — about 0 more, or 0.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 33.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 10 Nov 2012 → 23 Mar 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 23 | 09 Oct 2004 → 19 Feb 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 16 | 30 Mar 2013 → 24 Sep 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 20 Oct 2001 → 22 Jan 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 15 | 17 Oct 2015 → 16 Feb 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 15 | 25 Nov 2006 → 13 Mar 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 24 Mar 2012 → 27 Aug 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 11 Oct 2008 → 20 Dec 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 09 Feb 2008 → 01 Apr 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 20 Mar 2001 → 18 Aug 2001 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National League | 557 | 144 | 25.9% | 2 | 23 |
| League Two | 230 | 59 | 25.7% | 3 | 22 |
| FA Cup | 69 | 19 | 27.5% | 1 | 5 |
| League Cup | 6 | 4 | 66.7% | 0 | 1 |
| Club Friendlies | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 1 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2024 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2023 | 28 | 8 | 28.6% | 8 |
| 2022 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2017 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 23 | 5 | 21.7% | 6 |
| 2015 | 46 | 14 | 30.4% | 9 |
| 2014 | 50 | 17 | 34.0% | 8 |
| 2013 | 49 | 4 | 8.2% | 16 |
| 2012 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 12 |
| 2011 | 49 | 16 | 32.7% | 5 |
| 2010 | 41 | 14 | 34.2% | 5 |
| 2009 | 47 | 11 | 23.4% | 8 |
| 2008 | 50 | 8 | 16.0% | 11 |
| 2007 | 47 | 12 | 25.5% | 10 |
| 2006 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2005 | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 9 |
| 2004 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 14 |
| 2003 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 6 |
| 2002 | 48 | 14 | 29.2% | 7 |
| 2001 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 11 |
| 2000 | 26 | 10 | 38.5% | 4 |
| 1998 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1996 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1995 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1994 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1993 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1992 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1991 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1989 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1987 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1980 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1979 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1967 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1964 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1952 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1948 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1938 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1937 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1935 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1907 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1891 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 03 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Oct 14:00 |
Kidderminster Harriers
|
vs |
|
2.37 3.21 2.73 | 25.0% |
|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 11:30 |
Carlisle United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 16:30 |
Kidderminster Harriers
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.8% |
|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 27 Oct 19:45 |
Altrincham
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 15:00 |
Solihull Moors
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.