Inter Miami CF
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 257 matches (Mar 2020 – Sep 2026), Inter Miami CF drew 58 where the draw model expected 62.6 from those particular fixtures — about 5 fewer, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 64.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 14 Aug 2022 → 23 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 05 Sep 2021 → 07 Nov 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 30 Apr 2023 → 25 Jun 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 01 Oct 2025 → 31 Jan 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 06 Mar 2022 → 10 May 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 16 Jun 2024 → 15 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 13 May 2021 → 22 Jul 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 10 Sep 2020 → 10 Oct 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 03 May 2026 → 26 Jul 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 01 Mar 2020 → 31 Aug 2020 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLS | 233 | 48 | 20.6% | 2 | 29 |
| Club Friendlies | 11 | 5 | 45.5% | 0 | 3 |
| US Open Cup | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 1 | 3 |
| FIFA Club World Cup | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31 | 12 | 38.7% | 7 |
| 2025 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 10 |
| 2024 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 10 |
| 2023 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 13 |
| 2022 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 11 |
| 2021 | 34 | 5 | 14.7% | 14 |
| 2020 | 24 | 3 | 12.5% | 8 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 23:30 |
Inter Miami CF
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 11.2% |
|
| Wed, 14 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 14 Oct 23:30 |
Inter Miami CF
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.9% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 23:30 |
Atlanta United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 21:30 |
New York Red Bulls
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 23:30 |
Inter Miami CF
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 17.5% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 00:00 |
New England Revolution
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 21:00 |
Inter Miami CF
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.9% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.