India
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 104 matches (Mar 2015 – Jun 2026), India drew 26 where the draw model expected 19.8 from those particular fixtures — about 6 more, or 1.6 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 22.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 9 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 11 Jan 1984 → 04 Dec 1984 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 08 Sep 2015 → 03 Sep 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 04 Sep 2010 → 23 Mar 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 27 Mar 2018 → 15 Sep 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 05 Dec 2011 → 13 Mar 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 14 Aug 1966 → 13 Dec 1966 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 26 Sep 1999 → 27 Nov 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 30 Jul 1970 → 19 Aug 1970 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 11 May 1993 → 13 Jun 1993 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 10 Sep 2023 → 23 Jan 2024 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 133 | 33 | 24.8% | 0 | 9 |
| Merdeka Tournament | 79 | 19 | 24.1% | 1 | 7 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 57 | 17 | 29.8% | 1 | 8 |
| SAFF Cup | 53 | 13 | 24.5% | 0 | 5 |
| Asian Games | 44 | 2 | 4.6% | 5 | 5 |
| AFC Asian Cup qualification | 44 | 8 | 18.2% | 2 | 4 |
| Nehru Cup | 41 | 14 | 34.2% | 0 | 5 |
| South Asian Games | 22 | 6 | 27.3% | 5 | 5 |
| AFC Asian Cup | 16 | 1 | 6.3% | 3 | 3 |
| AFC Challenge Cup | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 3 |
| Korea Cup | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 0 | 3 |
| AFC Challenge Cup qualification | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 | 3 |
| King's Cup | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 | 2 |
| Indonesia Tournament | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Afro-Asian Games | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Unity Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Tri Nation Tournament | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Great Wall Cup | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Millennium Cup | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2025 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 2024 | 11 | 5 | 45.5% | 3 |
| 2023 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 4 |
| 2022 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 2021 | 12 | 5 | 41.7% | 3 |
| 2019 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 3 |
| 2018 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 9 |
| 2017 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 5 |
| 2016 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 2015 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 7 |
| 2014 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2013 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 4 |
| 2012 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 5 |
| 2011 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2010 | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 9 |
| 2009 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 2008 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 5 |
| 2007 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 2006 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 2005 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 6 |
| 2004 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 6 |
| 2003 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2002 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2001 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2000 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1999 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 8 |
| 1998 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 1997 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 2 |
| 1996 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1995 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1994 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1993 | 15 | 6 | 40.0% | 7 |
| 1992 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1991 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1989 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1988 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1987 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 1985 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 18 | 1 | 5.6% | 16 |
| 1982 | 13 | 6 | 46.2% | 4 |
| 1981 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1979 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1978 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1977 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 1976 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 5 |
| 1974 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1973 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 1971 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 4 |
| 1970 | 14 | 1 | 7.1% | 8 |
| 1969 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1968 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 1967 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 2 |
| 1966 | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 9 |
| 1965 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 3 |
| 1964 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1962 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1961 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1960 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1959 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 4 |
| 1958 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1957 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1956 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1955 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1954 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1953 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1952 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1951 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1941 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1938 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
