☆
· ITL · Friendly
Team ☆
all results ›
TJK · National Team
Tajikistan
Tajikistan national football team
Played
207
Draw %
21.3%
No-draw N
3
Max streak
12
09 Nov 2005 → 21 Nov 2006
Avg top run
7.6
top 10
Draw debt E
0.85
p50
32.0%
p100
26.0%
Draw score
0.246
rank #576
Draws
44
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,541
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,680
reached 28 Jul 2011
Rank
#157
of 336 national teams
Matches rated
200
last 6 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 207 matches (Jun 1992 – Oct 2026), Tajikistan drew 43 where the draw model expected 43.5 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 44.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 7 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 12
09 Nov 2005 → 21 Nov 2006
2 10
11 Jun 2019 → 14 Nov 2019
3 8
06 Sep 2012 → 15 Oct 2013
4 8
29 Mar 2011 → 15 Nov 2011
5 8
30 Dec 2009 → 26 Jun 2010
6 7
11 Oct 2024 → 05 Jun 2025
7 6
13 Oct 2015 → 07 Jun 2016
8 6
10 Jun 2004 → 25 Jan 2005
9 6
17 Nov 2003 → 18 Feb 2004
10 5
07 Nov 2020 → 25 Mar 2021
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 09 Nov 2005 → 21 Nov 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 11 Jun 2019 → 14 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 8 | 06 Sep 2012 → 15 Oct 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 29 Mar 2011 → 15 Nov 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 30 Dec 2009 → 26 Jun 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 11 Oct 2024 → 05 Jun 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 13 Oct 2015 → 07 Jun 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 10 Jun 2004 → 25 Jan 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 17 Nov 2003 → 18 Feb 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 07 Nov 2020 → 25 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 71 | 16 | 22.5% | 3 | 4 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 50 | 10 | 20.0% | 2 | 7 |
| AFC Asian Cup qualification | 27 | 5 | 18.5% | 3 | 4 |
| AFC Challenge Cup | 19 | 2 | 10.5% | 3 | 6 |
| AFC Challenge Cup qualification | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 3 | 3 |
| Asian Games | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 0 | 4 |
| AFC Asian Cup | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 | 2 |
| King's Cup | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 | 2 |
| ELF Cup | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| CAFA Nations Cup | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 | 1 |
| Merdeka Tournament | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Navruz Cup | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2025 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 2024 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 2023 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2022 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 4 |
| 2021 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2020 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2019 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 10 |
| 2018 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 2017 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2016 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2015 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2014 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2013 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2012 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 2011 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 8 |
| 2010 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 2009 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2007 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 2006 | 11 | 0 | 0.0% | 11 |
| 2005 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2004 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 2003 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2000 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1999 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1998 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1997 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1996 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1994 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1993 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1992 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
Matches
all results ›
207 matches · page 1 / 6
‹ prev
next ›