Houston Dynamo
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 30 Sep 2026.
Over 445 matches (Mar 2015 – Sep 2026), Houston Dynamo drew 123 where the draw model expected 114.8 from those particular fixtures — about 8 more, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 111.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 19 Apr 2022 → 04 Jul 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 11 Jun 2019 → 11 Aug 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 14 Sep 2022 → 09 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 22 Feb 2026 → 26 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 23 May 2023 → 02 Jul 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 04 May 2014 → 30 Jun 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 29 May 2025 → 17 Jul 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 03 Mar 2024 → 28 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 26 Aug 2019 → 06 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 09 Mar 2019 → 12 May 2019 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLS | 517 | 142 | 27.5% | 2 | 13 |
| US Open Cup | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 0 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 1 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 32 | 8 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 2025 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 8 |
| 2024 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 8 |
| 2023 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 10 |
| 2022 | 37 | 6 | 16.2% | 14 |
| 2021 | 34 | 12 | 35.3% | 6 |
| 2020 | 23 | 9 | 39.1% | 4 |
| 2019 | 42 | 7 | 16.7% | 14 |
| 2018 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 8 |
| 2017 | 45 | 15 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2016 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 7 |
| 2015 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 7 |
| 2014 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 9 |
| 2013 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 6 |
| 2012 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 6 |
| 2006 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 00:30 |
Minnesota United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.3% |
|
| Wed, 14 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 14 Oct 02:30 |
San Diego FC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 00:30 |
Houston Dynamo
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.3% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 00:30 |
Houston Dynamo
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 02:30 |
Seattle Sounders
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.3% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 02:30 |
Portland Timbers
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 00:00 |
Houston Dynamo
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.3% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.