What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 298 matches (Sep 2015 – Sep 2026), Göztepe drew 78 where the draw model expected 73.9 from those particular fixtures — about 4 more, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 73.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 26 Dec 1999 → 20 May 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 18 | 19 May 2018 → 08 Dec 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 31 Aug 2024 → 07 Dec 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 14 Feb 2022 → 16 Apr 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 19 Jan 2019 → 27 Feb 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 03 Dec 2019 → 19 Jan 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 20 Aug 2017 → 14 Oct 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 22 Sep 2016 → 26 Jan 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 15 Jul 1968 → 04 Nov 1968 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 18 May 2025 → 10 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Süper Lig | 358 | 95 | 26.5% | 0 | 21 |
| Turkish Cup | 118 | 26 | 22.0% | 1 | 8 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 20 | 1 | 5.0% | 8 | 8 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 24 | 11 | 45.8% | 3 |
| 2025 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 7 |
| 2024 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 11 |
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 23 | 3 | 13.0% | 9 |
| 2021 | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 7 |
| 2020 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 6 |
| 2019 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 9 |
| 2018 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 18 |
| 2017 | 20 | 3 | 15.0% | 8 |
| 2016 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2015 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2014 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2013 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2012 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2009 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2004 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 5 |
| 2002 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 7 |
| 2001 | 20 | 7 | 35.0% | 3 |
| 2000 | 22 | 0 | 0.0% | 20 |
| 1999 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 7 |
| 1998 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1997 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1996 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1995 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1994 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1993 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1992 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1991 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1989 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1976 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1970 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 7 |
| 1969 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1968 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 1967 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 4 |
| 1966 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1965 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1963 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1962 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, 12 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 12 Oct 17:00 |
Eyüpspor
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 13:00 |
Kocaelispor
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.7% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 16:00 |
Göztepe
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 19.5% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 16:00 |
Fenerbahce
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 12.5% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 16:00 |
Göztepe
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.9% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.