Gil Vicente
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Oct 2026.
Over 280 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Gil Vicente drew 72 where the draw model expected 71.4 from those particular fixtures — about 1 more, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 70.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 20 Oct 2002 → 02 Mar 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 10 Jan 2021 → 26 Apr 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 17 | 07 Mar 2004 → 24 Oct 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 16 Apr 2023 → 22 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 03 Mar 2013 → 14 Sep 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 30 Sep 2022 → 31 Jan 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 28 Sep 2024 → 14 Dec 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 08 May 2005 → 17 Oct 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 03 Oct 1999 → 19 Dec 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 03 Jun 2020 → 19 Jul 2020 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primeira Liga | 708 | 186 | 26.3% | 0 | 18 |
| Taça de Portugal | 13 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 26 | 7 | 26.9% | 7 |
| 2025 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 8 |
| 2024 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 10 |
| 2023 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 16 |
| 2022 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 9 |
| 2021 | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 17 |
| 2020 | 31 | 8 | 25.8% | 9 |
| 2019 | 14 | 5 | 35.7% | 5 |
| 2015 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2014 | 30 | 10 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2013 | 32 | 5 | 15.6% | 14 |
| 2012 | 29 | 9 | 31.0% | 6 |
| 2011 | 13 | 6 | 46.2% | 3 |
| 2006 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 8 |
| 2005 | 35 | 5 | 14.3% | 10 |
| 2004 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 17 |
| 2003 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 8 |
| 2002 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 10 |
| 2001 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 6 |
| 2000 | 34 | 13 | 38.2% | 6 |
| 1999 | 15 | 2 | 13.3% | 10 |
| 1997 | 21 | 5 | 23.8% | 9 |
| 1996 | 31 | 6 | 19.4% | 9 |
| 1995 | 35 | 14 | 40.0% | 5 |
| 1994 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 9 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 09 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 09 Oct 17:45 |
Moreirense
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.7% |
|
| Wed, 14 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 14 Oct 18:00 | União Santarém | vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 18:00 | União Santarém | vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Mon, 19 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 19 Oct 19:15 |
SC Braga
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 19:30 |
Gil Vicente
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Mon, 02 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 02 Nov 20:15 |
Gil Vicente
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.3% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 15:30 |
CD Santa Clara
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.