Fulham
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 572 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Fulham drew 139 where the draw model expected 145.2 from those particular fixtures — about 6 fewer, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 148.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 29 Dec 2018 → 27 Aug 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 18 | 21 Sep 2013 → 01 Jan 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 17 | 30 Apr 2000 → 18 Oct 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 05 Apr 2008 → 04 Oct 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 22 Sep 2004 → 04 Dec 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 08 Mar 2025 → 26 Jul 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 28 Feb 2023 → 13 May 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 13 | 25 Apr 2009 → 20 Sep 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 13 | 31 Dec 2005 → 19 Mar 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 07 Jan 2026 → 08 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 727 | 187 | 25.7% | 0 | 20 |
| Championship | 368 | 100 | 27.2% | 3 | 13 |
| FA Cup | 311 | 86 | 27.7% | 3 | 5 |
| League Cup | 204 | 45 | 22.1% | 2 | 7 |
| League One | 138 | 28 | 20.3% | 1 | 14 |
| League Two | 134 | 43 | 32.1% | 2 | 15 |
| UEFA Europa League | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 1 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 25 | 6 | 24.0% | 1 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 12 |
| 2025 | 46 | 5 | 10.9% | 13 |
| 2024 | 43 | 15 | 34.9% | 6 |
| 2023 | 54 | 9 | 16.7% | 13 |
| 2022 | 48 | 10 | 20.8% | 8 |
| 2021 | 50 | 16 | 32.0% | 9 |
| 2020 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 7 |
| 2019 | 46 | 6 | 13.0% | 26 |
| 2018 | 51 | 11 | 21.6% | 10 |
| 2017 | 53 | 14 | 26.4% | 8 |
| 2016 | 51 | 15 | 29.4% | 8 |
| 2015 | 55 | 19 | 34.6% | 7 |
| 2014 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 8 |
| 2013 | 43 | 8 | 18.6% | 17 |
| 2012 | 42 | 8 | 19.1% | 12 |
| 2011 | 56 | 19 | 33.9% | 5 |
| 2010 | 52 | 16 | 30.8% | 7 |
| 2009 | 56 | 14 | 25.0% | 13 |
| 2008 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 14 |
| 2007 | 43 | 18 | 41.9% | 8 |
| 2006 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 12 |
| 2005 | 45 | 13 | 28.9% | 6 |
| 2004 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 14 |
| 2003 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 5 |
| 2002 | 54 | 13 | 24.1% | 9 |
| 2001 | 45 | 17 | 37.8% | 6 |
| 2000 | 55 | 9 | 16.4% | 17 |
| 1999 | 59 | 18 | 30.5% | 10 |
| 1998 | 53 | 9 | 17.0% | 11 |
| 1997 | 52 | 15 | 28.8% | 12 |
| 1996 | 56 | 13 | 23.2% | 10 |
| 1995 | 49 | 19 | 38.8% | 8 |
| 1994 | 53 | 19 | 35.9% | 12 |
| 1993 | 27 | 4 | 14.8% | 9 |
| 1992 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1991 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1990 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1989 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1988 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1987 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1986 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1985 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1984 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1983 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 1982 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1981 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1980 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1979 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1978 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1977 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1976 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1975 | 15 | 8 | 53.3% | 3 |
| 1974 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1973 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1971 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1970 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1969 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1968 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1967 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1966 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1965 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1964 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1963 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1962 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 3 |
| 1961 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1960 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1959 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1957 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1956 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1955 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1953 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1952 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1951 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1950 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1948 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1947 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1946 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1939 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1938 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1937 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1936 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1935 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1934 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1933 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1932 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1931 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1930 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1929 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1928 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1927 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1926 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1925 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1924 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1923 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1922 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1921 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1920 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1915 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1914 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1913 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1912 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1911 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1910 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1909 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1908 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1907 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1906 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1905 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1904 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 14:00 |
Ipswich Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 14:00 |
Fulham
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:00 |
Coventry City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.9% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 19:45 |
Fulham
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 20:00 |
Aston Villa
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 15:00 |
Fulham
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
| Sat, 21 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 21 Nov 12:30 |
Manchester City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.4% |
|
| Sat, 06 Feb 2027 | ||||||
| 06 Feb 15:00 |
Fulham
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.0% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.